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Content Provider | IEEE Xplore Digital Library |
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Author | Wang Yikang Liu Xiangguan |
Copyright Year | 2014 |
Description | Author affiliation: Dept. of Math., Zhejiang Univ., Hangzhou, China (Liu Xiangguan) || Dept. of Math., China Jiliang Univ., Hangzhou, China (Wang Yikang) |
Abstract | A chaotic time series forecasting model based on support vector machine(SVM) for silicon content in hot metal is proposed which combines the support vector machine and chaotic forecasting theory. The original silicon content time series is reconstructed to a high dimension space through the skills of state space reconstruction. The training sample and testing sample are obtained based on the states in the state space, and then the support vector machine theory is used for forecasting. The simulation results show that the proposed model has better curve fitting and higher forecasting accuracy compared to that of RBF, AOLM and Volterra adaptive model. The hit rate reaches 88% in successive 100 heats in test set in the range of [Si] 0.1%. It seems promising and determinant in providing the experts with the right tools for the prediction in this difficult problem, and it can satisfy the requirements of on-line prediction of silicon content in hot metal. It develops the theory and method for silicon content forecasting in hot metal. |
Starting Page | 5156 |
Ending Page | 5161 |
File Size | 145900 |
Page Count | 6 |
File Format | |
ISBN | 9789881563873 |
ISSN | 19341768 |
DOI | 10.1109/ChiCC.2014.6895818 |
Language | English |
Publisher | Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE) |
Publisher Date | 2014-07-28 |
Publisher Place | China |
Access Restriction | Subscribed |
Rights Holder | TCCT, CAA |
Subject Keyword | Support vector machines support vector machine Time series analysis silicon content in hot metal Metals Predictive models Blast furnaces Silicon Mathematical model state space reconstruction chaotic time series |
Content Type | Text |
Resource Type | Article |
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