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| Content Provider | IEEE Xplore Digital Library |
|---|---|
| Author | Cheng Zeng Tao Lei Ming Lei Bin Li |
| Copyright Year | 2011 |
| Description | Author affiliation: School of Economics, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China (Tao Lei) || School of Environment and Natural Resources, Renmin Unviersity of China, Beijing 100872, China (Bin Li) || School of Economics, Minzu Unviersity of China, Beijing 100081, China (Cheng Zeng) || School of Economics, Renmin Unviersity of China, Beijing 100872, China (Ming Lei) |
| Abstract | Based on the IPAT identity and using the economic, social and statistical data, this article selects STIRPAT model to create China's driving factors model of carbon emission. With the method of scenario analysis through the model, we predict under the base scenario, the energy saving scenario, the economic structure optimization scenario, the economic structure optimization scenario and the multiple policies scenario and obtain the predicted values of carbon emission and carbon intensity by 2020 under the five scenarios. The values show that, compared with the base scenario, the policies under the four other scenarios can all extend the decline of the carbon intensity by 2020. But no matter which policy is implemented alone cannot achieve the goal of cutting carbon intensity by 40% to 45% by 2020, only the simultaneous implementation of three policies combined can achieve this goal. To this end, China must develop and implement new energy conservation policy, economic and energy structure optimization policy, new energy and renewable energy policy. |
| Starting Page | 3849 |
| Ending Page | 3852 |
| File Size | 302294 |
| Page Count | 4 |
| File Format | |
| ISBN | 9781612847719 |
| e-ISBN | 9781612847740 |
| DOI | 10.1109/ICMT.2011.6002955 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE) |
| Publisher Date | 2011-07-26 |
| Publisher Place | China |
| Access Restriction | Subscribed |
| Rights Holder | Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE) |
| Subject Keyword | Economics Industries Energy consumption Scenario analysis Carbon dioxide Coal Carbon intensity Carbon Driving factor Optimization STIRPAT model |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
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