NDLI: Modeling of U.S. Corn Ethanol Industrial Growth

Content Provider	The American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME) Digital Collection
Author	Kibira, Deogratias Shao, Guodong
Copyright Year	2011
Abstract	The production capacity of corn ethanol as a transportation fuel is experiencing rapid growth in the United States. The demand is driven by increased prices of gasoline, government mandates, incentives, desire for cleaner fuels, and the need to be more self-reliant in energy sources. Continued strong growth of the corn ethanol industry will depend on profitability by both suppliers and producers. This in turn will be influenced by several factors such as demand, government incentives, feedstock availability and prices, processing plant capacity, and efficient farm and ethanol processing technologies. How and to what extent will the projected growth of the corn ethanol industry in the United States be influenced by some or all of these factors? We use system dynamics modeling to construct a causal-loop structure of the corn ethanol industry and stock and flow diagrams to explore how possible changes in projected factors and growth indicators will affect the industry. Currently, planners and researchers explore various energy supply options by the year 2030. Using system dynamics modeling, this paper explores different possible growth scenarios of the industry for the next twenty years.
Sponsorship	Advanced Energy Systems Division and Solar Energy Division
Starting Page	1067
Ending Page	1076
Page Count	10
File Format	PDF
ISBN	9780791854686
DOI	10.1115/ES2011-54030
Volume Number	ASME 2011 5th International Conference on Energy Sustainability, Parts A, B, and C
Conference Proceedings	ASME 2011 5th International Conference on Energy Sustainability
Language	English
Publisher Date	2011-08-07
Publisher Place	Washington, DC, USA
Access Restriction	Subscribed
Subject Keyword	System dynamics Renewable energy Energy independence Corn ethanol production Ethanol Modeling
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article

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