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| Content Provider | OECD iLibrary |
|---|---|
| Organization | OECD |
| Abstract | La croissance est restée soutenue tout au long du second semestre 2002, malgré l’atonie des exportations imputable à une grave sécheresse et à la morosité de l’économie mondiale. La forte activité dans le secteur de la construction résidentielle étant appelée à s’essouffler, la croissance du PIB pourrait se ralentir légèrement en 2003 mais s’accélérer ensuite en 2004 parallèlement à la reprise prévue de l’économie mondiale et à l’augmentation de la production agricole. Le chômage devrait encore reculer, l’inflation restant maîtrisée grâce à l’ampleur des gains de productivité et à la modération des salaires. Pour préserver la stabilité des prix, la politique monétaire devrait devenir moins accommodante lorsque les effets de la sécheresse se seront estompés et que les signes d’une reprise de l’activité mondiale se seront précisés. Les autorités budgétaires devraient rester attachées à leur objectif du maintien de l’équilibre des finances publiques sur l’ensemble du cycle économique. Les perspectives de croissance à plus long terme seraient améliorées par de nouvelles réformes dans les domaines de la protection sociale, des pensions privées, de l’enseignement, de la concurrence et des marchés du travail en vue d’encourager un plus grand nombre d’individus à participer à la population active, continuer à exercer un emploi et augmenter encore leur productivité. |
| Page Count | 9 |
| Starting Page | 75 |
| Ending Page | 77 |
| Language | French |
| Publisher | OECD Publishing |
| Publisher Date | 2003-06-19 |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Subject Keyword | Economics |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Chapter |
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