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| Content Provider | OECD iLibrary |
|---|---|
| Organization | OECD |
| Abstract | L’expansion économique a marqué le pas au second semestre de 2002 du fait du ralentissement de la croissance des exportations. Bien que les perspectives concernant la demande intérieure restent médiocres, une reprise de la croissance des échanges mondiaux pendant les six derniers mois de 2003 pourrait déclencher un redressement modéré de l’activité, dont le taux de croissance s’établirait aux alentours de 1 pour cent tant en 2003 qu’en 2004, ce qui ne suffirait sans doute pas à faire reculer le chômage ou le taux de déflation. De fait, un renforcement possible des pressions déflationnistes compromettrait les prévisions, de même que la fragilité persistante du secteur financier et les tensions associées à une nouvelle augmentation de la dette publique. La politique monétaire devrait viser essentiellement à mettre un terme à la déflation par une nouvelle augmentation des liquidités. Le règlement accéléré des créances douteuses, conformément à l’objectif du gouvernement, devrait être une priorité, et devrait s’accompagner le cas échéant d’une injection directe de fonds publics. Si l’on s’attaquait plus résolument à ce problème, la politique budgétaire devrait laisser les stabilisateurs automatiques réagir aux éventuels effets négatifs exercés sur la production et sur l’emploi. Il est cependant tout aussi indispensable de mettre en place un cadre pour l’assainissement des finances publiques à moyen terme, avec la fixation d’objectifs en matière de dépenses. L’économie doit être revitalisée par une accélération de la restructuration des entreprises et la mise en œuvre de réformes structurelles sur un large front. |
| Page Count | 11 |
| Starting Page | 46 |
| Ending Page | 50 |
| Language | French |
| Publisher | OECD Publishing |
| Publisher Date | 2003-06-19 |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Subject Keyword | Economics |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Chapter |
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