NDLI: A combined fuzzy and probability risk evaluation model for electric power grid investments

Content Provider	IEEE Xplore Digital Library
Author	Chengwen Wang Zhongfu Tan Li Li
Copyright Year	2008
Description	Author affiliation: Inst. of Electr. Econ., North China Electr. Power Univ., Beijing (Chengwen Wang)
Abstract	The risk factors of the electric power grid investment under deregulation were extensively analyzed, and were divided into probability risk factors and fuzzy risk factors according to their historical data's accessibilities. And then the probability density functions was used to describe the uncertainties of probability risk factors, while the fuzzy probabilities or fuzzy membership functions were used to represent uncertainties of fuzzy risk factors. Based on these contributions, a combined fuzzy and probability risk evaluation model for electric power grid investments was presented, in which the probability risks of the project' net present value (NPV) were quantified, and its fuzzy uncertainties were obtained by the expansion principle II. Finally, the given example proved that the model mentioned in this paper could quantify the risks of electric power grid investment in a more proper way, which could provide more information for the decision makers.
Starting Page	479
Ending Page	483
File Size	862675
Page Count	5
File Format	PDF
ISBN	9787900714138
DOI	10.1109/DRPT.2008.4523454
Language	English
Publisher	Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE)
Publisher Date	2008-04-06
Publisher Place	China
Access Restriction	Subscribed
Rights Holder	DRPT
Subject Keyword	Power systems Investments Uncertainty Fuzzy sets Probability Power generation economics Environmental economics Electronic mail Fuzzy set theory Risk management
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article

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1	Ministry of Education (GoI), Department of Higher Education	Sanctioning Authority	https://www.education.gov.in/ict-initiatives
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4	Project PI / Joint PI	Principal Investigator and Joint Principal Investigators of the project	Dr. B. Sutradhar bsutra@ndl.gov.in Prof. Saswat Chakrabarti will be added soon
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