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| Content Provider | OECD iLibrary |
|---|---|
| Organization | OECD |
| Abstract | Le coup de fouet donné à la production de charbon par les premiers mégaprojets mis en exploitation en 2011, couplé à la solide performance des services financiers, des transports, de la communication et du bâtiment, a contribué à porter la croissance du produit intérieur brut (PIB) réel à 7.2 % en 2011. Le pays affiche un taux de croissance moyen impressionnant de 7.2 % sur les dix dernières années. La tendance devrait se maintenir en 2012 et 2013, à respectivement 7.5 et 7.9 %. L'économie reste dopée par le niveau élevé des investissements directs étrangers (IDE), destinés en priorité aux industries extractives, mais aussi par la bonne tenue de la production agricole et la poursuite des investissements d’infrastructure. Malgré ce rythme soutenu, la politique monétaire stricte maintenue par la banque centrale et la prudence budgétaire des autorités ont permis de ramener l’inflation de 12.7 % à 10.8 % en fin d’année 2011. Le reflux devrait se confirmer en 2012, à 7.2 %, avant une stabilisation à 5.6 % attendue en 2013, ce qui autorise un relâchement de la politique monétaire en 2012 pour stimuler le crédit. La mise en oeuvre des mesures en faveur des pauvres élaborées en 2011 et l’ambitieux programme d’investissement dans les infrastructures devraient creuser le déficit budgétaire, de - 3.3 % en 2011 à respectivement -6.8 et -7.4 % en 2012 et 2013. À moyen terme, le principal défi structurel consistera à élargir l’assiette fiscale du pays. Les apports d’aide devraient poursuivre leur décrue, de 51.4 % du budget en 2010 à 39.6 % en 2012. La diversification de la base du revenu, à travers notamment une fiscalité plus efficace dans le secteur des industries extractives, sera vitale pour soutenir et promouvoir une croissance inclusive. |
| Language | French |
| Publisher | OECD Publishing |
| Publisher Date | 2012-05-28 |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Subject Keyword | Development |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Chapter |
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