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| Content Provider | OECD iLibrary |
|---|---|
| Organization | OECD |
| Abstract | L’économie du Lesotho a montré des signes de reprise en 2009, suite à la crise financière mondiale ; toutefois, le rythme de cette reprise a été ralenti par l’impact des inondations qui se sont produites au début du mois de janvier 2011. Selon les estimations, la croissance aurait atteint 3.1 % en 2011 (une baisse de 2.5 points par rapport à 2010) grâce à la reprise du secteur manufacturier et à la forte demande pour les exportations de diamants. En dépit des prévisions qui tablent sur un accroissement des besoins en importations et sur une relative faiblesse des recettes issues de l’Union douanière de l’Afrique australe (Southern African Customs Union - SACU), sur le moyen terme, la croissance devrait approcher une moyenne de 4.8 %, tirée par les investissements dans la phase II du Lesotho Highlands Water Project et la réhabilitation des infrastructures affectées par les inondations récentes (Figure 1 et Tableau 1). La politique budgétaire du pays reste dépendante des performances des recettes issues de la SACU (en particulier les recettes brutes, qui sont non cycliques), qui devraient représenter en moyenne 27 % du PIB sur le moyen terme, chiffre bien plus élevé que les 15 % observés sur la période 2010-11. Le Lesotho s’est traditionnellement appuyé sur les recettes issues de la SACU pour financer près de 60 % du budget national. La part du Lesotho dans les recettes issues de la SACU devrait décliner de 4.9 milliards LSL en 2009/10 à 1.7 milliard LSL en 2010/11. Le budget de 13.7 milliards LSL établi par le gouvernement est basé sur une hypothèse de reprise des recettes issues de la SACU à 5 milliards LSL et 4.7 milliards LSL en 2012/13, et à 4.7 milliards LSL en 2013/14. |
| Language | French |
| Publisher | OECD Publishing |
| Publisher Date | 2012-05-28 |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Subject Keyword | Development |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Chapter |
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