NDLI: Modeling Network Changes: Systemic Centrality in Foreign Policy Interaction Analysis

Content Provider	IEEE Xplore Digital Library
Author	Qin Wu Duval, R. Fuller, E. Xingqin Qi Cun-Quan Zhang Spahiu, A. Christensen, K.
Copyright Year	2011
Abstract	The complex network of relationships between countries provides an abundance of data from which intelligence analysts must synthesize useful interpretations that effectively inform foreign policy and security decision making. In this work, a network of foreign policy event interactions is developed and then used to describe the state of the international system by estimating the behavioral distances from all relevant actors to the US. Using a graph theoretic approach, we develop a tool for estimating behavioral distances through direct network links when behavior is present, and indirect network paths when direct behavior is unobserved. The international system is examined in temporal aggregations of 60 and 30 days prior to and following the 1991 Gulf War and the 2003 invasion of Iraq. Both periods see distancing from the US as the wars approach, and a partial return to the prior state by 60 days after the initiation of conflict. The overall position of the US and the response of other nations towards the US indicates that the systemic leadership role of the US is diminished in behavioral relationships with a moderate number of actors.
Starting Page	690
Ending Page	695
File Size	1238561
Page Count	6
File Format	PDF
ISBN	9781612847580
DOI	10.1109/ASONAM.2011.109
Language	English
Publisher	Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE)
Publisher Date	2011-07-25
Publisher Place	Taiwan
Access Restriction	Subscribed
Rights Holder	Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE)
Subject Keyword	Couplings USA Councils Social network services Aggregates Communities graph theory social networks Lead Data models clustering foreign policy
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article

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