NDLI: Uncertain failure thresholds in cumulative damage models

Content Provider	IEEE Xplore Digital Library
Author	Usynin, A. Hines, J.W. Urmanov, A.
Copyright Year	2008
Description	Author affiliation: Nucl. Eng. Dept., Univ. of Tennessee, Knoxville, Knoxville, TN (Usynin, A.; Hines, J.W.) \|\| Sun Microsyst., San Diego, CA (Urmanov, A.)
Abstract	This paper investigates the issues related to variability in degradation-based reliability models and how the variability affects the remaining useful life prognosis being made by those models. Particularly, uncertain failure thresholds in cumulative damage models are of primary interest in this study. Many degradation-based reliability approaches make use of a predefined deterministic value of the failure threshold. However, in real-world cases, the designer may not be aware of the precise critical degradation level. In such situations it is suitable to define the critical degradation level as a range of values having certain probabilities of being critical. If no prior information is available regarding the failure threshold; the critical value has to be estimated from experimental reliability data that are subject to uncertainty due to imperfect measurements and random deviations in reliability properties of the tested components. In these circumstances, it is desirable to model the critical threshold as a random variable. Otherwise, the model can be oversimplified since it neglects the failure threshold uncertainty, whose influence onto the reliability prediction can be significant. This paper presents uncertainty analysis regarding how variability in the failure threshold affects the reliability prediction in conjunction with cumulative damage models. Three types of cumulative damage models are investigated; these are a Markov chain-based model, a linear path degradation model, and a Wiener process with drift. Closed-form equations quantifying the threshold uncertainty propagation into the model prediction are given. A numerical example is presented to illustrate how the critical threshold uncertainty reshapes the predicted time-to-failure distribution, supporting the need for considering the critical threshold uncertainty in accurate reliability computations.
Starting Page	334
Ending Page	340
File Size	376506
Page Count	7
File Format	PDF
ISBN	9781424414604
ISSN	0149144X
DOI	10.1109/RAMS.2008.4925818
Language	English
Publisher	Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE)
Publisher Date	2008-01-28
Publisher Place	USA
Access Restriction	Subscribed
Rights Holder	Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE)
Subject Keyword	Degradation Uncertainty Predictive models Failure analysis Sun Testing Random variables Equations Distributed computing Performance evaluation random failure threshold degradation-based reliability cumulative damage models
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article

Sl.	Authority	Responsibilities	Communication Details
1	Ministry of Education (GoI), Department of Higher Education	Sanctioning Authority	https://www.education.gov.in/ict-initiatives
2	Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur	Host Institute of the Project: The host institute of the project is responsible for providing infrastructure support and hosting the project	https://www.iitkgp.ac.in
3	National Digital Library of India Office, Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur	The administrative and infrastructural headquarters of the project	Dr. B. Sutradhar bsutra@ndl.gov.in
4	Project PI / Joint PI	Principal Investigator and Joint Principal Investigators of the project	Dr. B. Sutradhar bsutra@ndl.gov.in Prof. Saswat Chakrabarti will be added soon
5	Website/Portal (Helpdesk)	Queries regarding NDLI and its services	support@ndl.gov.in
6	Contents and Copyright Issues	Queries related to content curation and copyright issues	content@ndl.gov.in
7	National Digital Library of India Club (NDLI Club)	Queries related to NDLI Club formation, support, user awareness program, seminar/symposium, collaboration, social media, promotion, and outreach	clubsupport@ndl.gov.in
8	Digital Preservation Centre (DPC)	Assistance with digitizing and archiving copyright-free printed books	dpc@ndl.gov.in
9	IDR Setup or Support	Queries related to establishment and support of Institutional Digital Repository (IDR) and IDR workshops	idr@ndl.gov.in