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| Content Provider | Directory of Open Access Journals (DOAJ) |
|---|---|
| Author | Wonjin Kim Jiwan Lee Jinuk Kim Seongjoon Kim |
| Abstract | This study assessed the water supply stability for Boryeong multipurpose dam by applying future dry climate change scenarios and Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). CMCC-CM, INM-CM4, and IPSL-CM5A-MR RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios were selected as the future dry conditions using Runs theory and Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI). For historical (1980−1999), present (2000−2019), and future periods (2030s, 2050s, 2070s, and 2090s) of the 6 scenarios, SWAT model was used to simulate the future dam water supply stability. The stability was evaluated in terms of reliability $(R_{T}$), resilience $(R_{S}$), and vulnerability (V) based on the monthly target storage. The results showed that the future $R_{T}$ can be decreased to 0.803 in 2050s IPSL-CM5A-MR RCP 8.5 scenario from present 0.955. The future $R_{S}$ and V showed the minimum value of 0.003 and the biggest value of 3567.6 × $10^{6}$ $m^{3}$ in 2070s IPSL-CM5A-MR RCP 4.5 scenario. The future $R_{T}$, $R_{S}$, and V showed that the dam has low resilience and is vulnerable to future drought scenarios. |
| e-ISSN | 20734441 |
| DOI | 10.3390/w11112403 |
| Journal | Water |
| Issue Number | 11 |
| Volume Number | 11 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | MDPI AG |
| Publisher Date | 2019-11-01 |
| Publisher Place | Switzerland |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Subject Keyword | Hydraulic Engineering Water Supply for Domestic and Industrial Purposes Climate Change Drought Dry Scenario Swat Water Supply Runs Theory Spi |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
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