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| Content Provider | World Health Organization (WHO)-Global Index Medicus |
|---|---|
| Author | Havlík, Petr Valin, Hugo Cohn, Avery S. Obersteiner, Michael Mosnier, Aline Herrero, Mario Schmid, Erwin O'hare, Michael |
| Spatial Coverage | Brazil |
| Description | Author Affiliation: Cohn AS ( The Fletcher School, Tufts University, Medford, MA 02155); Mosnier A ( International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, 2361 Laxenburg, Austria); Havlík P ( International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, 2361 Laxenburg, Austria); Valin H ( International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, 2361 Laxenburg, Austria); Herrero M ( Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization, St. Lucia, QLD 4067, Australia); Schmid E ( Institute for Sustainable Economic Development, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences Vienna, 1180 Vienna, Austria); O'Hare M ( Goldman School of Public Policy, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720.); Obersteiner M ( International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, 2361 Laxenburg, Austria); |
| Abstract | This study examines whether policies to encourage cattle ranching intensification in Brazil can abate global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by sparing land from deforestation. We use an economic model of global land use to investigate, from 2010 to 2030, the global agricultural outcomes, land use changes, and GHG abatement resulting from two potential Brazilian policies: a tax on cattle from conventional pasture and a subsidy for cattle from semi-intensive pasture. We find that under either policy, Brazil could achieve considerable sparing of forests and abatement of GHGs, in line with its national policy targets. The land spared, particularly under the tax, is far less than proportional to the productivity increased. However, the tax, despite prompting less adoption of semi-intensive ranching, delivers slightly more forest sparing and GHG abatement than the subsidy. This difference is explained by increased deforestation associated with increased beef consumption under the subsidy and reduced deforestation associated with reduced beef consumption under the tax. Complementary policies to directly limit deforestation could help limit these effects. GHG abatement from either the tax or subsidy appears inexpensive but, over time, the tax would become cheaper than the subsidy. A revenue-neutral combination of the policies could be an element of a sustainable development strategy for Brazil and other emerging economies seeking to balance agricultural development and forest protection. |
| ISSN | 00278424 |
| e-ISSN | 10916490 |
| Journal | Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America |
| Issue Number | 20 |
| Volume Number | 111 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | National Academy of Sciences |
| Publisher Date | 2014-05-01 |
| Publisher Place | United States |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Subject Keyword | Agriculture Air Pollution Statistics & Numerical Data Animal Husbandry Carbon Footprint Greenhouse Effect Animals Computer Simulation Conservation Of Natural Resources Taxes Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S. Multidisciplinary |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
| Subject | Multidisciplinary |
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