NDLI: Accounting for carbon stocks in models of land-use change: an application to Southern Yucatan

Content Provider	Springer Nature Link
Author	Geoghegan, Jacqueline Lawrence, Deborah Schneider, Laura C. Tully, Katherine
Copyright Year	2010
Abstract	To assess the impact of land-use change on carbon stocks, we apply a new methodology, linking ecological and economic modeling, to southern Yucatan, Mexico. A spatial econometric multinomial logit model of ten land-cover classes is estimated (four primary forest categories, three secondary growth categories, an invasive species, and two agricultural land-cover categories), using satellite data on land cover, linked with census socioeconomic data and other biophysical spatial data from 2000. The analysis is novel in that it is the first attempt to link detailed satellite data on land use, with on-the-ground estimates of carbon stocks in a spatial econometric model of land use. The estimated multinomial logit model is then used with two scenarios of future economic growth (“low growth” and “high growth” changes in population, agricultural land use, market access, and education levels) in the region to predict land-cover changes resulting from the economic growth. The per hectare carbon (C) stocks in each land-cover class are derived from previously published estimates of biomass from field sampling across the study region. We consider aboveground-only, aboveground plus soil, transient and non-transient pools of carbon. These estimates are scaled up to the total area in each class according to the predictions of the model baseline and the two development scenarios. Subsequently, the changes in carbon stocks resulting from the predicted land-cover changes are calculated. Under the low growth scenario, carbon stocks declined by 5%; under the high growth scenario, losses were 12%. Including soil C, the proportional losses were lower, but the absolute amount lost was more than double (to 6 Tg C under the low and almost 15 Tg C under the high-growth scenario). This methodology could be further developed for applications in global change policy, such as payments for environmental services (PES) or reduction in emissions from deforestation and degradation (REDD).
Starting Page	247
Ending Page	260
Page Count	14
File Format	PDF
ISSN	14363798
Journal	Regional Environmental Change
Volume Number	10
Issue Number	3
e-ISSN	1436378X
Language	English
Publisher	Springer-Verlag
Publisher Date	2010-02-03
Publisher Place	Berlin/Heidelberg
Access Restriction	One Nation One Subscription (ONOS)
Subject Keyword	Spatially explicit land-use econometric modeling Carbon stocks Remote sensing Mexico Land-use change REDD Nature Conservation Regional/Spatial Science Geology Geography (general) Oceanography Climate Change
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article
Subject	Global and Planetary Change

Sl.	Authority	Responsibilities	Communication Details
1	Ministry of Education (GoI), Department of Higher Education	Sanctioning Authority	https://www.education.gov.in/ict-initiatives
2	Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur	Host Institute of the Project: The host institute of the project is responsible for providing infrastructure support and hosting the project	https://www.iitkgp.ac.in
3	National Digital Library of India Office, Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur	The administrative and infrastructural headquarters of the project	Dr. B. Sutradhar bsutra@ndl.gov.in
4	Project PI / Joint PI	Principal Investigator and Joint Principal Investigators of the project	Dr. B. Sutradhar bsutra@ndl.gov.in Prof. Saswat Chakrabarti will be added soon
5	Website/Portal (Helpdesk)	Queries regarding NDLI and its services	support@ndl.gov.in
6	Contents and Copyright Issues	Queries related to content curation and copyright issues	content@ndl.gov.in
7	National Digital Library of India Club (NDLI Club)	Queries related to NDLI Club formation, support, user awareness program, seminar/symposium, collaboration, social media, promotion, and outreach	clubsupport@ndl.gov.in
8	Digital Preservation Centre (DPC)	Assistance with digitizing and archiving copyright-free printed books	dpc@ndl.gov.in
9	IDR Setup or Support	Queries related to establishment and support of Institutional Digital Repository (IDR) and IDR workshops	idr@ndl.gov.in

Attributing changes in land cover using independent disturbance datasets: a case study of the Yucatan Peninsula, Mexico

Smallholder land use in the southern Yucatan: how culture and history matter

Land use and land cover change affecting habitat distribution in the Segara Anakan lagoon, Java, Indonesia

Agricultural livelihood transition in the southern Yucatán region: diverging paths and their accompanying land changes

Land use change in Southern Romania after the collapse of socialism

A spatially explicit reconstruction of cropland cover in China from 1661 to 1996

Agroforest’s growing role in reducing carbon losses from Jambi (Sumatra), Indonesia

Analyzing coastal wetland change in the Yancheng National Nature Reserve, China

Combining remote sensing and household level data for regional scale analysis of land cover change in the Brazilian Amazon

Accounting for carbon stocks in models of land-use change: an application to Southern Yucatan

Similar Documents

Attributing changes in land cover using independent disturbance datasets: a case study of the Yucatan Peninsula, Mexico

Smallholder land use in the southern Yucatan: how culture and history matter

Land use and land cover change affecting habitat distribution in the Segara Anakan lagoon, Java, Indonesia

Agricultural livelihood transition in the southern Yucatán region: diverging paths and their accompanying land changes

Land use change in Southern Romania after the collapse of socialism

A spatially explicit reconstruction of cropland cover in China from 1661 to 1996

Agroforest’s growing role in reducing carbon losses from Jambi (Sumatra), Indonesia

Analyzing coastal wetland change in the Yancheng National Nature Reserve, China

Combining remote sensing and household level data for regional scale analysis of land cover change in the Brazilian Amazon

Accounting for carbon stocks in models of land-use change: an application to Southern Yucatan