NDLI: Understanding deforestation in the southern Yucatán: insights from a sub-regional, multi-temporal analysis

Content Provider	Springer Nature Link
Author	Rueda, Ximena
Copyright Year	2010
Abstract	The southern Yucatán has been identified as a deforestation hot spot. Land-change studies document the extent of forest loss at a regional scale, and case studies provide insights into the drivers of deforestation at the household level. Those studies have paid minimal attention to sub-regional analysis, especially to discrete land-management units above the household level. This analysis of upland forest change addresses the range of variation in deforestation among 96 ejidos (communal lands) and the Calakmul Biosphere Reserve, the two dominant land-tenure and land-management units in the region. Satellite imagery, census, and land-tenure data are used to establish the extent and location of deforestation patterns, and multivariate techniques are employed to identify biophysical and socioeconomic variables that explain such patterns. Results show that, for the 1984–1993 period, deforestation in the southern Yucatán was not as prevalent as implied by its hot spot designation. Three clusters of deforestation are identified. A logistic regression analysis establishes that size of forest holdings, population growth, and location in the precipitation gradient correlate with ejidos that experienced higher deforestation rates than the rest of the land-tenure units. For the 1993–2000 period, conservation programs and changes in the economic context of this “hollow frontier” contributed to reduce deforestation rates and extent. This analysis illustrates the spatio-temporal heterogeneity of much tropical forest change and caution that it should bring to simple formulations of modeling this change and prescribing policies to control it.
Starting Page	175
Ending Page	189
Page Count	15
File Format	PDF
ISSN	14363798
Journal	Regional Environmental Change
Volume Number	10
Issue Number	3
e-ISSN	1436378X
Language	English
Publisher	Springer-Verlag
Publisher Date	2010-03-03
Publisher Place	Berlin/Heidelberg
Access Restriction	One Nation One Subscription (ONOS)
Subject Keyword	Deforestation Southern Yucatán Logistic regression Sub-regional analysis Nature Conservation Regional/Spatial Science Geology Geography (general) Oceanography Climate Change
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article
Subject	Global and Planetary Change

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