NDLI: Interdecadal change of interannual variability and predictability of two types of ENSO

Content Provider	Springer Nature Link
Author	Jeong, Hye In Ahn, Joong Bae Lee, June Yi Alessandri, Andrea Hendon, Harry H.
Copyright Year	2014
Abstract	A significant interdecadal climate shift of interannual variability and predictability of two types of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), namely the canonical or eastern Pacific (EP)-type and Modoki or central Pacific (CP) type, are investigated. Using the retrospective forecasts of six-state-of-the-art coupled models and their multi-model ensemble (MME) for December–January–February during the period of 1972–2005 along with corresponding observed and reanalyzed data, we examine the climate regime shift that occurred in the winter of 1988/1989 and how the shift affected interannual variability and predictability of two types of ENSO for the two periods of 1972–1988 (hereafter PRE) and 1989–2005 (hereafter POST). The result first shows substantial interdecadal changes of observed sea surface temperature (SST) in mean state and variability over the western and central Pacific attributable to the significant warming trend in the POST period. In the POST period, the SST variability increased (decreased) significantly over the western (eastern) Pacific. The MME realistically reproduces the observed interdecadal changes with 1- and 4-month forecast lead time. It is found that the CP-type ENSO was more prominent and predictable during the POST than the PRE period while there was no apparent difference in the variability and predictability of the EP-type ENSO between two periods. Note that the second empirical orthogonal function mode of the Pacific SST during the POST period represents the CP-type ENSO but that during the PRE period captures the ENSO transition phase. The MME better predicts the former than the latter. We also investigate distinctive regional impacts associated with the two types of ENSO during the two periods.
Starting Page	1073
Ending Page	1091
Page Count	19
File Format	PDF
ISSN	09307575
Journal	Climate Dynamics
Volume Number	44
Issue Number	3-4
e-ISSN	14320894
Language	English
Publisher	Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Publisher Date	2014-04-19
Publisher Place	Berlin, Heidelberg
Access Restriction	One Nation One Subscription (ONOS)
Subject Keyword	El Niño and Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Climate regime shift Decadal variability Seasonal predictability and prediction Multi-model ensemble (MME) Teleconnection Geophysics/Geodesy Climatology Oceanography
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article
Subject	Atmospheric Science

Sl.	Authority	Responsibilities	Communication Details
1	Ministry of Education (GoI), Department of Higher Education	Sanctioning Authority	https://www.education.gov.in/ict-initiatives
2	Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur	Host Institute of the Project: The host institute of the project is responsible for providing infrastructure support and hosting the project	https://www.iitkgp.ac.in
3	National Digital Library of India Office, Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur	The administrative and infrastructural headquarters of the project	Dr. B. Sutradhar bsutra@ndl.gov.in
4	Project PI / Joint PI	Principal Investigator and Joint Principal Investigators of the project	Dr. B. Sutradhar bsutra@ndl.gov.in Prof. Saswat Chakrabarti will be added soon
5	Website/Portal (Helpdesk)	Queries regarding NDLI and its services	support@ndl.gov.in
6	Contents and Copyright Issues	Queries related to content curation and copyright issues	content@ndl.gov.in
7	National Digital Library of India Club (NDLI Club)	Queries related to NDLI Club formation, support, user awareness program, seminar/symposium, collaboration, social media, promotion, and outreach	clubsupport@ndl.gov.in
8	Digital Preservation Centre (DPC)	Assistance with digitizing and archiving copyright-free printed books	dpc@ndl.gov.in
9	IDR Setup or Support	Queries related to establishment and support of Institutional Digital Repository (IDR) and IDR workshops	idr@ndl.gov.in

Assessment of the APCC coupled MME suite in predicting the distinctive climate impacts of two flavors of ENSO during boreal winter

Analysis of the non-linearity in the pattern and time evolution of El Niño southern oscillation

Modulation of Aleutian Low and Antarctic Oscillation co-variability by ENSO

Seasonal prediction and predictability of the Asian winter temperature variability

Interannual variability of seasonal rainfall over the Cape south coast of South Africa and synoptic type association

The impact of ENSO on Southern African rainfall in CMIP5 ocean atmosphere coupled climate models

Interdecadal modulation on the relationship between ENSO and typhoon activity during the late season in the western North Pacific

Does sea surface temperature outside the tropical Pacific contribute to enhanced ENSO predictability?

Weakening AMOC connects Equatorial Atlantic and Pacific interannual variability

Interdecadal change of interannual variability and predictability of two types of ENSO

Similar Documents

Assessment of the APCC coupled MME suite in predicting the distinctive climate impacts of two flavors of ENSO during boreal winter

Analysis of the non-linearity in the pattern and time evolution of El Niño southern oscillation

Modulation of Aleutian Low and Antarctic Oscillation co-variability by ENSO

Seasonal prediction and predictability of the Asian winter temperature variability

Interannual variability of seasonal rainfall over the Cape south coast of South Africa and synoptic type association

The impact of ENSO on Southern African rainfall in CMIP5 ocean atmosphere coupled climate models

Interdecadal modulation on the relationship between ENSO and typhoon activity during the late season in the western North Pacific

Does sea surface temperature outside the tropical Pacific contribute to enhanced ENSO predictability?

Weakening AMOC connects Equatorial Atlantic and Pacific interannual variability

Interdecadal change of interannual variability and predictability of two types of ENSO