Loading...
Please wait, while we are loading the content...
Similar Documents
Looking to the future: Prospective economic voting in 2008 Presidential Elections
| Content Provider | Semantic Scholar |
|---|---|
| Author | Michelitch, Kristin Morales, Marco A. Owen, Andrew Tucker, Joshua A. |
| Copyright Year | 2012 |
| Abstract | Despite the economic turmoil of the time, a typical study of vote choice in the 2008 US Presidential Election would (falsely) find little evidence that voters’ opinions about the future state of the economy affected their vote choice. We argue that this misleading conclusion results from serious measurement error in the standard prospective economic evaluations survey question. Relying instead on a revised question, included for the first time in the 2008 American National Election Study, we find that most respondents condition their prospective economic evaluations on potential election outcomes, and that these evaluations are an important determinant of vote choice. A replication in a very different political context – the 2008 Ghanaian election – yields similar results. |
| Starting Page | 838 |
| Ending Page | 851 |
| Page Count | 14 |
| File Format | PDF HTM / HTML |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.electstud.2012.04.002 |
| Volume Number | 31 |
| Alternate Webpage(s) | http://marco-morales.com/documents/pubs/Michelitch_etal2012.pdf |
| Alternate Webpage(s) | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2012.04.002 |
| Language | English |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
