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| Content Provider | IEEE Xplore Digital Library |
|---|---|
| Author | Jan, C.D. Tseng, C.M. Wang, J.S. Wang, C.M. |
| Copyright Year | 2006 |
| Description | Author affiliation: Nat. Cheng Kung Univ., Tainan (Jan, C.D.) |
| Abstract | A typhoon-surge forecasting model was developed with the application of the back-propagation neural network (BPN) in the present paper. This artificial neural network model forecasts the hourly time series of typhoon surge variation based on a set of input data including typhoon's characteristics, local meteorological conditions and typhoon surges at a considered tidal station. For selecting a better forecasting model, four models (Models A, B, C, and D) were tested and compared under the different composition of input factors. A general evaluation index that is a composition of four performance indexes was proposed to evaluate the model's overall performance. Tested results show that Model D composing 18 input factors has best performance among the four models, The Model D was then applied to typhoon-surge forecasting at Cheng-kung Tidal Station in south-eastern coast of Taiwan and at Tung-shih Tidal Station in the coast of south-western Taiwan. Results show that the application of Model D in typhoon-surge forecasting at Cheng-kung Tidal Station has better performance than that at Tung-shih Tidal Station. |
| Starting Page | 1 |
| Ending Page | 7 |
| File Size | 6911615 |
| Page Count | 7 |
| File Format | |
| ISBN | 9781424401376 |
| DOI | 10.1109/OCEANSAP.2006.4393894 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE) |
| Publisher Date | 2007-05-16 |
| Publisher Place | Singapore |
| Access Restriction | Subscribed |
| Rights Holder | Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE) |
| Subject Keyword | Typhoons Surges Artificial neural networks Predictive models Weather forecasting Storms Meteorology Sea measurements Tides Rivers |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
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