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| Content Provider | IEEE Xplore Digital Library |
|---|---|
| Author | Bueno, E.A.B. Uturbey, W. Fabrini, K.L. Hostt, R.R. |
| Copyright Year | 2012 |
| Description | Author affiliation: Graduate Program in Electrical Engineering, Federal University of Minas Gerais-UFMG, Av. Antonio Carlos 6627, Pampulha, 31270-901, Belo Horizonte, Brazil (Bueno, E.A.B.) || Electrical Engineering Department, Federal University of Minas Gerais-UFMG, Av. Antonio Carlos 6627, Pampulha, 31270-901, Belo Horizonte, Brazil (Uturbey, W.) || CEMIG - Companhia Energética de Minas, Gerais. Av. Barbacena 1200, Santo Agostinho, 30190-131, Belo Horizonte, Brazil (Fabrini, K.L.; Hostt, R.R.) |
| Abstract | This work deals with investment assessment of expansion projects in electricity distribution systems. An integrated approach is adopted, in which demand side management projects are modeled together with expansion projects. The methodology used to assess investment decisions is based on cash flow analysis and financial tools. A real options approach, which uses a binomial tree model, is adopted in order to assess the managerial flexibilities given by investment alternatives. Monte Carlo simulation is used to take into account main uncertainties that influence cash flows and to determine the volatility of investment return. The methodology is applied on the context of the Brazilian distribution segment, which is strongly regulated. Results show that the value added by the flexibility introduced by demand side activities is significant. |
| Starting Page | 361 |
| Ending Page | 367 |
| File Size | 348676 |
| Page Count | 7 |
| File Format | |
| ISBN | 9781467314534 |
| e-ISBN | 9781467314541 |
| DOI | 10.1109/EnergyCon.2012.6347784 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE) |
| Publisher Date | 2012-09-09 |
| Publisher Place | Italy |
| Access Restriction | Subscribed |
| Rights Holder | Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE) |
| Subject Keyword | Uncertainty Substations Regulators Demand side management Investments Lattices Investment assessment Probability density function Demand response Distribution system expansion projects Mathematical model Real options |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
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