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| Content Provider | IEEE Xplore Digital Library |
|---|---|
| Author | Greene, D.L. Plotkin, S. Duleep, K.G. |
| Copyright Year | 1997 |
| Description | Author affiliation: Oak Ridge Nat. Lab., TN, USA (Greene, D.L.) |
| Abstract | This paper presents the results of an assessment of the potential for cost-effective technological changes to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from the US transportation sector by the year 2010. US transportation energy use stood at 24.4 quadrillion Btu (Quads) in 1996, up 2 percent over 1995 (US DOE/EIA, 1997, table 2.5). Transportation sector carbon dioxide emissions amounted to 457.2 million metric tons of carbon (MmtC) in 1995, almost one third of total US greenhouse gas emissions (US DOE/EIA, 1996a, p.12). Transport's energy use and CO/sub 2/ emissions are growing, apparently at accelerating rates as energy efficiency improvements appear to be slowing to a halt. Cost-effective and nearly cost-effective technologies have enormous potential to slow and even reverse the growth of transport's CO/sub 2/ emissions, but technological changes will take time and are not likely to occur without significant, new public policy initiatives. Absent new initiatives, we project that CO/sub 2/ emissions from transport are likely to grow to 616 MmtC by 2010, and 646 MmtC by 2015. An aggressive effort to develop and implement cost-effective technologies that are more efficient and fuels that are lower in carbon could reduce emissions by about 12% in 2010 and 18% in 2015, versus the business-as-usual projection. With substantial luck, leading to breakthroughs in key areas, reductions over the BAU case of 17% in 2010 and 25% in 2015, might be possible. In none of these case are CO/sub 2/ emissions reduced to 1990 levels by 2015. |
| Starting Page | 2114 |
| Ending Page | 2119 |
| File Size | 622038 |
| Page Count | 6 |
| File Format | |
| ISBN | 0780345150 |
| DOI | 10.1109/IECEC.1997.656753 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE) |
| Publisher Date | 1997-07-27 |
| Publisher Place | USA |
| Access Restriction | Subscribed |
| Rights Holder | Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE) |
| Subject Keyword | Energy efficiency Carbon dioxide Public policy Global warming Laboratories Fuels Costs Atmosphere Road transportation Acceleration |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
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