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| Content Provider | IEEE Xplore Digital Library |
|---|---|
| Author | Chih-Chun Tsai Sheng-Tsaing Tseng Balakrishnan, N. |
| Copyright Year | 1963 |
| Abstract | Degradation models are usually used to provide information about the reliability of highly reliable products that are not likely to fail within a reasonable period of time under traditional life tests, or even accelerated life tests. The gamma process is a natural model for describing degradation paths, which exhibit a monotone increasing pattern, while the commonly used Wiener process is not appropriate in such a case. We discuss the problem of optimal design for degradation tests based on a gamma degradation process with random effects. To conduct a degradation experiment efficiently, several decision variables (such as the sample size, inspection frequency, and measurement numbers) need to be determined carefully. These decision variables affect not only the experimental cost, but also the precision of the estimates of lifetime parameters of interest. Under the constraint that the total experimental cost does not exceed a pre-specified budget, the optimal decision variables are found by minimizing the asymptotic variance of the estimate of the 100p-th percentile of the lifetime distribution of the product. Laser data are used to illustrate the proposed method. Moreover, we assess analytically the effects of model mis-specification that occur when the random effects are not taken into consideration in the gamma degradation model. The numerical results of these effects reveal that the impact of model mis-specification on the accuracy and precision of the prediction of percentiles of the lifetimes of products are somewhat serious for the tail probabilities. A simulation study also shows that the simulated values are quite close to the asymptotic values. |
| Sponsorship | IEEE Reliability Society |
| Starting Page | 604 |
| Ending Page | 613 |
| Page Count | 10 |
| File Size | 2805872 |
| File Format | |
| ISSN | 00189529 |
| Volume Number | 61 |
| Issue Number | 2 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE) |
| Publisher Date | 2012-06-01 |
| Publisher Place | U.S.A. |
| Access Restriction | One Nation One Subscription (ONOS) |
| Rights Holder | Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE) |
| Subject Keyword | Degradation Maximum likelihood estimation Frequency measurement Optimization Laser modes Quantum cascade lasers Reliability random effects Asymptotic normality gamma process model mis-specification optimal design |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
| Subject | Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality Electrical and Electronic Engineering |
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