NDLI: Delay PERT

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Simulation: pushing a dead mouse through a maze?

Introduction to simulation

Models and artificial intelligence

Discrete, continuous and combined simulation

Modeling and generating input processes

An overview of verification and validation of simulation models

Using simulation to solve problems: a tutorial on the analysis of simulation output

Variance reduction for simulation practitioners

Ranking and selection tutorial: 2-factor normal means procedures

Optimization in simulation: a survey of recent results

Applying the simulation process

A “disposable” graphical event synthesizer for teaching simulation model building

Implementing student projects in a simulation course

SLAM II tutorial

Introduction to SIMAN

SIMSCRIPT II.5 and simanimation, a tutorial

Perspectives on simulation using GPSS

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The Smalltalk simulation environment, part II

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A process-oriented simulation package based on Modula-2

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Software reuse and simulation

Integrated software for manufacturing simulation

Modeling asynchronous materials handling systems in XCELL+

Data collection with a portable microcomputer

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SIMNET simulation language

STAR*CELL: a flexible manufacturing cell simulator

Scheduling manufacturing systems with FACTOR

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Network II.5 tutorial

Factory simulation with animation: the no programming approach

Factory simulation with animation: the no programming approach

Animation design with Cinema

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Marginally specific alternatives to normal ARMA processes

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On strong consistency of the variance estimator

Correlation among estimators of the variance of the sample mean

A new initial bias deletion rule

On the relationship between batch means, overlapping means and spectral estimation

Control variate models for sensitivity estimates of repairable item systems

Estimation procedures based on control variates with known covariance matrix

Smarter control variables: regression-adjusted linear and nonlinear controls

The Monte Carlo estimation fuction variation

Measure specific dynamic importance sampling for availability simulations

Simterpolations: estimating an entire queueing function from a single sample path

Future directions for frequency domain approach

Likelilood ratio gradient estimation: an overview

Pertubation analysis—theoretical, experimental, and implementational aspects

Future directions in response surface methodology for simulation

Application of a simulation optimization system for a continuous review inventory model

Testing strategies for simulation optimization

Optimization of simulation responses in a multicomputing environment

Metamodel estimation using integrated correlation methods

Frequency domain metamodelling of a feedback queue

A model for frequency domain experiments

Systems for Monte Carlo work

Control variates for quantile estimation

Generalized zero-variance solutions and intelligent random numbers

Simulation environment of the 1990's (panel)

What is visual interactive simulation? (and is there a methodology for doing it right?)

A visual progranmming approach to manufacturing modeling

Animated graphics and computer simulation

Modelling styles and their support in the CASM environment

DELAB—a simulation laboratory

Simulation support: prototyping the automation-based paradigm

TimeLock: a concurrent simulation technique and its description in Smalltalk-80

Dependencies and graphical interfaces in object-oriented simulation languages

Object oriented performance models with knowledge-based diagnostics

An intelligent modeling system for simulation manufacturing processes

The role of simulation in planning

Automatic model synthesis: using automatic programming and expert systems techniques toward simulation modeling

Implementing the product automation formalism

A new formalism for discrete event simulation

The DEVS formalism: hierarchical, modular systems specification in an object oriented framework

Model evolution II: an FMS design problem

Alternatives for modeling of preemptive scheduling

Using graphs to translate between world views

Exploring the forms of model diagnosis in a simulation support environment

The control and transformation metric: toward the measurement of simulation model complexity

Constraint-driven generation of model structures

Optimal performance of distributed simulation programs

Two implementations of a concurrent simulation environment

Performance issues for distributed battlefield simulations

Simulation of manufacturing systems

How to select and work with a consultant: a consultant's perspective

Simulation, animation, and shop-floor control

A simple simulation for schedulang in a flexible manufacturing system

Microcomputer manufacturer FMS simulation

Modeling AGV systems using network constructs

Development and validation of a systems macro model using isolated micro models

Modeling complex manufacturing systems using simulation

Modeling of a manufacturing cell using a graphical simulation system based on Smalltalk-80

Analytical factors concerning the use of micro-mini storage devices as material management systems

Operations model for high-volume production line

Automatic programming of AGVS simulation models

Knowledge aquisition methods for expert scheduling systems

A method for planning analysis and design simulation of CIM systems

Using analytical and simulation modeling for early factory prototyping

Using mathematical programming and simulation to study FMS machine utilizations

Manufacturing process analysis—tools and applications

Single run optimization of a SIMAN model for closed loop flexible assembly systems

Direct execution models of processor behavior and performance

A simulation study of a parallel processor with unbalanced loads

A simulation of dynamic task allocation in a distributed computer system

Premises telecommunications network technological and financial modeling

A simulation model of public university financial resources for faculty

Evaluating a price change limit rule in a simulated exchange

Modeling and analysis to two-echelon resource allocation strategy in packet switches

Simulation analysis of demand assigned multiple access (DAMA) algorithms used in satelite communications systems

Computer simulation of communications on the space station data management system

The geometrical design of signalised road traffic junctions

Using expert systems to select software the traffic analysis

A simulation analysis of demand and fleet size effects on taxicab service rates

A logistics application of simulation to determine distribution costs resulting from a forward warehouse operation

Stockage policy cost simulation for DLA hazardous and nonhazardous shelf-life items

Object oriented simulation for the U.S Army graves registration service

Re-hosting a computer assisted wargame exercise from a mainframe to a micro: database and user-interface issues

A battalion/brigade training simulation

Design of a joint operations planning simulator

Simulation of continuous mail processing

Self-insurance by small scale cogenerators against the ratchet demand effect

Impact points in patient flows through a radiology department provided through simulation

Simulation of a hospital patient transportation system

A simulation approach to analysis of emergency services and trauma center management

The application of computer simulation in a flight vehicle CAD system

Simulation of a local area network for a newspaper production system

Simulation used to qualify nuclear waste glass for disposal

Structured feedback: an approach to developing knowledge of a system during initial model development

Delay PERT

Content Provider	ACM Digital Library
Author	Young, Donovan
Abstract	This white paper suggests a PERT simulation method applicable to critical-path project scheduling networks subject to correlated negative-exponential delays. “Delay PERT” starts with a declared schedule, in which each activity has an intended duration and an intended start time. Durations are subject to delays assumed to obey negative-exponential distributions; fixed start times, whose primary purpose is to model exogenous events such as procurements, are similarly subject to negative-exponential delays. Correlations among delays are expressed by partitioning delays into classes, and as each delay is realized in a simulation experiment the expected values are statistically updated for all the unrealized delays of the same class.The need for “delay PERT” arose in beta testing of GITPASE, an interactive project scheduling package. This paper describes the background, shows the need for “delay PERT”, gives rationales for its assumptions and statistical methodology, proposes a data structure, proposes an organization of the simulation experiments, and indicates outputs and how users might utilize them.
Starting Page	904
Ending Page	913
Page Count	10
File Format	PDF
ISBN	0911801324
DOI	10.1145/318371.318714
Language	English
Publisher	Association for Computing Machinery (ACM)
Publisher Date	1987-12-01
Publisher Place	New York
Access Restriction	Subscribed
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article

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