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| Content Provider | World Health Organization (WHO)-Global Index Medicus |
|---|---|
| Author | Chang, Alex R. Grams, Morgan E. Nadkarni, Girish N. Sang, Yingying Coresh, Josef Ballew, Shoshana Shalev, Varda Levey, Andrew S. Chow, Eric K. H. Kovesdy, Csaba P. Garg, Amit X. Matsushita, Kunihiro Segev, Dorry L. Lentine, Krista L. Kasiske, Bertram L. |
| Organization | Chronic Kidney Disease Prognosis Consortium |
| Spatial Coverage | United States |
| Description | Author Affiliation: Grams ME ( From the Division of Nephrology, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine (M.E.G.), the Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health (M.E.G., Y.S., K.M., S.B., J.C.), and the Departments of Surgery and Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University (E.K.H.C., D.L.S.) - all in Baltimore) |
| Abstract | BACKGROUND: Evaluation of candidates to serve as living kidney donors relies on screening for individual risk factors for end-stage renal disease (ESRD). To support an empirical approach to donor selection, we developed a tool that simultaneously incorporates multiple health characteristics to estimate a person's probable long-term risk of ESRD if that person does not donate a kidney. METHODS: We used risk associations from a meta-analysis of seven general population cohorts, calibrated to the population-level incidence of ESRD and mortality in the United States, to project the estimated long-term incidence of ESRD among persons who do not donate a kidney, according to 10 demographic and health characteristics. We then compared 15-year projections with the observed risk among 52,998 living kidney donors in the United States. RESULTS: A total of 4,933,314 participants from seven cohorts were followed for a median of 4 to 16 years. For a 40-year-old person with health characteristics that were similar to those of age-matched kidney donors, the 15-year projections of the risk of ESRD in the absence of donation varied according to race and sex; the risk was 0.24% among black men, 0.15% among black women, 0.06% among white men, and 0.04% among white women. Risk projections were higher in the presence of a lower estimated glomerular filtration rate, higher albuminuria, hypertension, current or former smoking, diabetes, and obesity. In the model-based lifetime projections, the risk of ESRD was highest among persons in the youngest age group, particularly among young blacks. The 15-year observed risks after donation among kidney donors in the United States were 3.5 to 5.3 times as high as the projected risks in the absence of donation. CONCLUSIONS: Multiple demographic and health characteristics may be used together to estimate the projected long-term risk of ESRD among living kidney-donor candidates and to inform acceptance criteria for kidney donors. (Funded by the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases and others.). |
| ISSN | 00284793 |
| e-ISSN | 15334406 |
| Journal | New England Journal of Medicine |
| Issue Number | 5 |
| Volume Number | 374 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | Massachusetts Medical Society (United States) |
| Publisher Date | 2016-02-04 |
| Publisher Place | United States |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Subject Keyword | Kidney Failure, Chronic Epidemiology Kidney Transplantation Living Donors Risk Assessment Glomerular Filtration Rate Hypertension Ethnology Surgery Models, Statistical Risk Factors Sex Factors Meta-Analysis Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't Medicine |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
| Subject | Medicine |
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