NDLI: How High is Hispanic/Mexican Fertility in the United States? Immigration and Tempo Considerations

Content Provider	Springer Nature Link
Author	Parrado, Emilio A.
Copyright Year	2011
Abstract	In this article, I demonstrate that the apparently much higher fertility of Hispanic/Mexican women in the United States is almost exclusively the product of period estimates obtained for immigrant women and that period measures of immigrant fertility suffer from three serious sources of bias that together significantly overstate fertility levels: difficulties in estimating the size of immigrant groups; the tendency for migration to occur at a particular stage in life; and, most importantly, the tendency for women to have a birth soon after migration. When these sources of bias are taken into consideration, the fertility of native Hispanic/Mexican women is very close to replacement level. In addition, the completed fertility of immigrant women in the United States is dramatically lower than the level obtained from period calculations. Findings are consistent with classical theories of immigrant assimilation but are a striking departure from the patterns found in previous studies and published statistics. The main implication is that without a significant change in immigration levels, current projections based on the premise of high Hispanic fertility are likely to considerably exaggerate Hispanic population growth, its impact on the ethno-racial profile of the country, and its potential to counteract population aging.
Starting Page	1059
Ending Page	1080
Page Count	22
File Format	PDF
ISSN	00703370
Journal	Demography
Volume Number	48
Issue Number	3
e-ISSN	15337790
Language	English
Publisher	Springer US
Publisher Date	2011-06-22
Publisher Place	Boston
Access Restriction	One Nation One Subscription (ONOS)
Subject Keyword	Hispanics Fertility Immigration Assimilation Projections Demography Population Economics Geography (general) Sociology Medicine/Public Health
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article
Subject	Demography

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