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Adaptation to a warming-drying trend through cropping system adjustment over three decades: A case study in the northern agro-pastural ecotone of China

Impacts of climate change on cotton yield in China from 1961 to 2010 based on provincial data

Journal of Meteorological Research : Volume 29, Issue 2, April 2015

Journal of Meteorological Research : Volume 29, Issue 1, February 2015

Journal of Meteorological Research : Volume 28

Journal of Meteorological Research : Volume 27

Journal of Meteorological Research : Volume 26

Journal of Meteorological Research : Volume 25

Adaptation to a warming-drying trend through cropping system adjustment over three decades: A case study in the northern agro-pastural ecotone of China

Content Provider	Springer Nature Link
Author	Zhang, Jingting An, Pingli Pan, Zhihua Hao, Baozhen Wang, Liwei Dong, Zhiqiang Pan, Xuebiao Xue, Qingwu
Copyright Year	2015
Abstract	Long-term field monitoring data and historical crop data are useful to assess the impacts of climate change and to manage cropping systems. The objectives of this study are to understand the cropping system response to a warming-drying trend in the northern agro-pastural ecotone (NAE) of China and to document how farmers can adapt to the warming-drying trend by changing cropping system structure and adjusting planting date. The results indicate that a significant warming-drying trend existed in the NAE from 1980 to 2009, and this trend significantly decreased crop (spring wheat, naked oat, and potato) yields. Furthermore, the yield decreased by 16.2%–28.4% with a 1°C increase in maximum temperature and decreased by 6.6%–11.8% with a 10% decrease in precipitation. Considering food security, water use efficiency, and water ecological adaptability in the semi-arid NAE, cropping system structure adjustment (e.g., a shift from wheat to potato as the predominant crop) and planting date adaptation (e.g., a delay in crop planting date) can offset the impact of the warming-drying trend in the NAE. Based on the successful offsetting of the impact of the warming-drying trend in the NAE, we conclude that farmers can reduce the negative effects of climate change and minimize the risk of crop failure by adapting their cropping system structure at the farming level.
Starting Page	496
Ending Page	514
Page Count	19
File Format	PDF
ISSN	20956037
Journal	Journal of Meteorological Research
Volume Number	29
Issue Number	3
e-ISSN	21980934
Language	English
Publisher	The Chinese Meteorological Society
Publisher Date	2015-12-30
Publisher Place	Beijing
Access Restriction	One Nation One Subscription (ONOS)
Subject Keyword	warming-drying trend cropping system structure adjustment planting date change water use efficiency water ecological adaptability northern agro-pastural ecotone of China Atmospheric Sciences Meteorology Geophysics and Environmental Physics Atmospheric Protection/Air Quality Control/Air Pollution
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article
Subject	Ocean Engineering Atmospheric Science

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Adaptation to a warming-drying trend through cropping system adjustment over three decades: A case study in the northern agro-pastural ecotone of China

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Adaptation to a warming-drying trend through cropping system adjustment over three decades: A case study in the northern agro-pastural ecotone of China