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| Content Provider | Springer Nature Link |
|---|---|
| Author | Irvine, Kathryn M. Rodhouse, T. J. Keren, Ilai N. |
| Copyright Year | 2016 |
| Abstract | Ecological abundance data are often recorded on an ordinal scale in which the lowest category represents species absence. One common example is when plant species cover is visually assessed within bounded quadrats and then assigned to pre-defined cover class categories. We present an ordinal beta hurdle model that directly models ordinal category probabilities with a biologically realistic beta-distributed latent variable. A hurdle-at-zero model allows ecologists to explore distribution (absence) and abundance processes in an integrated framework. This provides an alternative to cumulative link models when data are inconsistent with the assumption that the odds of moving into a higher category are the same for all categories (proportional odds). Graphical tools and a deviance information criterion were developed to assess whether a hurdle-at-zero model should be used for inferences rather than standard ordinal methods. Hurdle-at-zero and non-hurdle ordinal models fit to vegetation cover class data produced substantially different conclusions. The ordinal beta hurdle model yielded more precise parameter estimates than cumulative logit models, although out-of-sample predictions were similar. The ordinal beta hurdle model provides inferences directly on the latent biological variable of interest, percent cover, and supports exploration of more realistic ecological patterns and processes through the hurdle-at-zero or two-part specification. We provide JAGS code as an on-line supplement. Supplementary materials accompanying this paper appear on-line. |
| Starting Page | 619 |
| Ending Page | 640 |
| Page Count | 22 |
| File Format | |
| ISSN | 10857117 |
| Journal | Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics |
| Volume Number | 21 |
| Issue Number | 4 |
| e-ISSN | 15372693 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | Springer US |
| Publisher Date | 2016-09-12 |
| Publisher Place | New York |
| Access Restriction | One Nation One Subscription (ONOS) |
| Subject Keyword | Beta regression Cumulative link model Grouped continuous Hurdle model Midpoint regression Non-proportional odds Plant abundance Proportional odds model Statistics for Life Sciences, Medicine, Health Sciences Agriculture Monitoring/Environmental Analysis Biostatistics |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
| Subject | Applied Mathematics Statistics and Probability Environmental Science Agricultural and Biological Sciences Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty |
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