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| Content Provider | Springer Nature Link |
|---|---|
| Author | Zeng, Yi Wang, Zhenglian |
| Copyright Year | 2014 |
| Abstract | This study presents an integrated policy analysis on population/household aging based on 2010 census and other recent data and the ProFamy extended cohort-component projection method. The results demonstrate that Chinese population and households will age quickly and to a large scale under any scenario, However, compared to the prior rigorous fertility policy unchanged and the recently-adopted two-child for only-child couples policy, a universal two-child policy with encouraging adequate spacing would create much better demographic conditions in the future concerning proportions of elders, oldest-old and elderly empty-nest households; labor force and pension deficit rates; sex ratio at birth and marriage squeeze; and only-child elderly with increased risk of childlessness and socioeconomic costs.Based on extensive empirical research evidence, we propose three policy actions which are crucially important for China’s sustainable development. First, to transit to a universal two-child policy as soon as possible; we demonstrate why it is highly feasible and will not cause any new baby booms. Second, to gradually increase currently very low retirement age, which would help China to avoid serious pension deficit problems. Third, to further develop rural old age insurance programs, which will reduce more serious aging problems in rural areas compared to cities. These three policy actions may enable China to create opportunities to successfully face the serious challenges of population and household aging. |
| Starting Page | 255 |
| Ending Page | 281 |
| Page Count | 27 |
| File Format | |
| ISSN | 18747884 |
| Journal | Journal of Population Ageing |
| Volume Number | 7 |
| Issue Number | 4 |
| e-ISSN | 18747876 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | Springer Netherlands |
| Publisher Date | 2014-08-09 |
| Publisher Place | Dordrecht |
| Access Restriction | One Nation One Subscription (ONOS) |
| Subject Keyword | Population aging Household aging Two-child policy Retirement age Rural old age insurance Demography Aging Geriatrics/Gerontology Sociology Medicine/Public Health |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
| Subject | Sociology and Political Science Geography, Planning and Development Demography |
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