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| Content Provider | Springer Nature Link |
|---|---|
| Author | YIN, JUN YAN, DENGHUA YANG, ZHIYONG YUAN, ZHE YUAN, YONG ZHANG, CHENG |
| Copyright Year | 2016 |
| Abstract | Based on the national precipitation dataset (0.5$^{∘}$×0.5$^{∘}$) 1961–2011, published by the National Meteorological Information Center of China and the five Global Climate Models provided by ISI-MIP, annual maximum precipitation for 1 day, 3 days and 7 days could be calculated. Extreme precipitation was fitted via Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution to explore the changes of extreme precipitation with the return period of 20 years and 50 years during 1961–2000 and 2001–2050. Based on this, extreme precipitation projection in Huang-Huai-Hai region was done. The results showed that the five Global Climate Models could simulate the statistical features of extreme precipitation quite well, in which IPSL-CM5A-LR has the highest precision. Simulation of IPSL-CM5A-LR indicates that precipitation with the return period of 20 years and 50 years in the middle reaches of the Yellow River, middle and lower reaches of Huaihe River and plain area of the southern Haihe River will increase considerably in the future. Extreme precipitation in some of the places will even increase by more than 30%, which means that these places will face larger flood risk and their capacity to respond to flood disasters should be improved. |
| Starting Page | 417 |
| Ending Page | 429 |
| Page Count | 13 |
| File Format | |
| ISSN | 02534126 |
| Journal | Journal of Earth System Science |
| Volume Number | 125 |
| Issue Number | 2 |
| e-ISSN | 0973774X |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | Springer India |
| Publisher Date | 2016-03-14 |
| Publisher Institution | Indian Academy of Sciences |
| Publisher Place | New Delhi |
| Access Restriction | One Nation One Subscription (ONOS) |
| Subject Keyword | Climate change Huang-Huai-Hai region extreme precipitation Global Climate Model Earth Sciences Extraterrestrial Physics, Space Sciences |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
| Subject | 1900/1901 |
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