NDLI: Environmental sustainability and scenarios of urbanization in arid area : A case study in Wuwei City of Gansu Province

Content Provider	Springer Nature Link
Author	You, Fei Li, Yu Dong, Suo cheng
Copyright Year	2005
Abstract	Based on data of questionnaire and field survey and two developing models of Business As Usual (BAU) and the Intensive Urbanization (IU), this article, taking Wuwei City, a medium size city and typical oasis arid area in Gansu Province with very vulnerable and sensitive natural environment but long history of oasis economy, as an example, evaluated the sustainability of its environment and analyzed the scenarios of Wuwei’s household energy consumption, waste discharge in transportation industry, primary industry, secondary industry, tertiary industry, by the integration of the systematical dynamics model Stella and Polestar language to simulate the future development of the research area. The results showed that, first, the developing model of IU was propitious to Wuwei City named for oasis economy and vulnerable natural environment. The strategy of "Intensive Urbanization" can change the structure of energy utilization, and improve the efficiency of energy utilization. Second, the proportion of domestic energy consumption will decrease with industrialization and economic development, while that of tertiary industry, secondary industry and transportation will gradually grow up according to strategy of "Intensive Urbanization". Third, the Wuwei City is facing a severe eco-environmental crisis under the conventional patterns of development and a better future under a sustainable urbanization scenario, in the next 10 to 20 years. The different developing trends were clarified and the relative countermeasures were put forward for the policy makers according to the driving forces.
Starting Page	120
Ending Page	130
Page Count	11
File Format	PDF
ISSN	10020063
Journal	Chinese Geographical Science
Volume Number	15
Issue Number	2
e-ISSN	1993064X
Language	English
Publisher	Science Press
Publisher Date	2005-01-01
Publisher Place	Beijing
Access Restriction	One Nation One Subscription (ONOS)
Subject Keyword	impact of urbanization on environment sustainability of eco-environment scenario analysis Wuwei City arid area Geography (general)
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article
Subject	Earth and Planetary Sciences Geography, Planning and Development

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