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| Content Provider | Springer Nature Link |
|---|---|
| Author | Lenz, Hartmut Dorussen, Han Ward, Hugh |
| Copyright Year | 2007 |
| Abstract | We analyze the impact of public commitment strategies as bargaining tools in the negotiations on the EU Constitutional Treaty using a sequential-bargaining model with incomplete information. The analysis suggests selection bias in observable public commitments with respect to the kind of issues that are publicly challenged as well as the kind of governments that will ‘go public’. Public commitments are more likely under high uncertainty over audience costs. Further, the effect of public commitments on the duration and outcome of negotiation is conditional as well. In our empirical analysis, where we analyze the intergovernmental stage of the negotiations on the European Constitutional Treaty, we find strong empirical support for each of our theoretical predictions. Governments were most likely to commit publicly if they represented a domestic constituency that was negative about the EU Constitution and, at the same time, contained many undecided respondents. Moreover, these public commitments were generally quickly accommodated. In contrast, public commitments were less likely to lead to any changes if they were made by governments representing a domestic constituency that was relatively positive about the draft Constitution or negative and decided. In the latter case, however, public statements made bargaining deadlock more likely. |
| Starting Page | 131 |
| Ending Page | 152 |
| Page Count | 22 |
| File Format | |
| ISSN | 15597431 |
| Journal | The Review of International Organizations |
| Volume Number | 2 |
| Issue Number | 2 |
| e-ISSN | 1559744X |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | Kluwer Academic Publishers-Plenum Publishers |
| Publisher Date | 2007-04-28 |
| Publisher Place | New York |
| Access Restriction | One Nation One Subscription (ONOS) |
| Subject Keyword | European Union Constitutional treaty Public commitment Signaling games Domestic constraints Economics general Political Science Social Sciences |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
| Subject | Political Science and International Relations Economics and Econometrics Organizational Behavior and Human Resource Management |
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