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| Content Provider | Springer Nature Link |
|---|---|
| Author | Bate, Andrew M. Hilker, Frank M. |
| Copyright Year | 2013 |
| Abstract | The presence of infectious diseases can dramatically change the dynamics of ecological systems. By studying an SI-type disease in the predator population of a Rosenzweig–MacArthur model, we find a wealth of complex dynamics that do not exist in the absence of the disease. Numerical solutions indicate the existence of saddle–node and subcritical Hopf bifurcations, turning points and branching in periodic solutions, and a period-doubling cascade into chaos. This means that there are regions of bistability, in which the disease can have both a stabilising and destabilising effect. We also find tristability, which involves an endemic torus (or limit cycle), an endemic equilibrium and a disease-free limit cycle. The endemic torus seems to disappear via a homoclinic orbit. Notably, some of these dynamics occur when the basic reproduction number is less than one, and endemic situations would not be expected at all. The multistable regimes render the eco-epidemic system very sensitive to perturbations and facilitate a number of regime shifts, some of which we find to be irreversible. |
| Starting Page | 2059 |
| Ending Page | 2078 |
| Page Count | 20 |
| File Format | |
| ISSN | 00928240 |
| Journal | Bulletin of Mathematical Biology |
| Volume Number | 75 |
| Issue Number | 11 |
| e-ISSN | 15229602 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | Springer US |
| Publisher Date | 2013-09-18 |
| Publisher Place | New York |
| Access Restriction | One Nation One Subscription (ONOS) |
| Subject Keyword | Eco-epidemiology Period-doubling Chaos Bistability Tristability Mathematical and Computational Biology Life Sciences Cell Biology |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
| Subject | Neuroscience Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology Mathematics Pharmacology Immunology Computational Theory and Mathematics Environmental Science Agricultural and Biological Sciences |
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