NDLI: California’s Three Strikes Law Revisited: Assessing the Long-Term Effects of the Law

Content Provider	Springer Nature Link
Author	Datta, Anusua
Copyright Year	2017
Abstract	Previous studies on the three strikes legislation in California draw conclusions based on data immediately following the passage of the law, which cannot account for the full deterrent effect of the law. Moreover, they do not account for the incapacitation effect. Distinguishing between deterrence and incapacitation is important for determining the efficacy of the law. Using data from 1991 to 2009, this paper is the first to examine the long-run effects. Our results show that the law had a significant deterrent effect on all crimes, including non-triggering offenses. Overall, the incapacitation effect is less significant. Further, enhanced penalties cause some felons to substitute between violent crimes and property crimes which carry a lower sentence. However, there is little evidence of substitution within crime categories. Surprisingly however, the added deterrent effect of the third strike is significantly smaller than for the second strike. The small marginal deterrence from the third strike also raises questions about the justification for such extreme severity of punishment.
Starting Page	225
Ending Page	249
Page Count	25
File Format	PDF
ISSN	01974254
Journal	Atlantic Economic Journal
Volume Number	45
Issue Number	2
e-ISSN	15739678
Language	English
Publisher	Springer US
Publisher Date	2017-06-23
Publisher Place	New York
Access Restriction	One Nation One Subscription (ONOS)
Subject Keyword	Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law Three strikes Deterrence Incapacitation Economics Macroeconomics/Monetary Economics//Financial Economics Microeconomics International Economics Public Finance
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article
Subject	Economics, Econometrics and Finance

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