NDLI: Assessing future risk: quantifying the effects of sea level rise on storm surge risk for the southern shores of Long Island, New York

Content Provider	Springer Nature Link
Author	Shepard, Christine C. Agostini, Vera N. Gilmer, Ben Allen, Tashya Stone, Jeff Brooks, William Beck, Michael W.
Copyright Year	2011
Abstract	Sea level rise threatens to increase the impacts of future storms and hurricanes on coastal communities. However, many coastal hazard mitigation plans do not consider sea level rise when assessing storm surge risk. Here we apply a GIS-based approach to quantify potential changes in storm surge risk due to sea level rise on Long Island, New York. We demonstrate a method for combining hazard exposure and community vulnerability to spatially characterize risk for both present and future sea level conditions using commonly available national data sets. Our results show that sea level rise will likely increase risk in many coastal areas and will potentially create risk where it was not before. We find that even modest and probable sea level rise (.5 m by 2080) vastly increases the numbers of people (47% increase) and property loss (73% increase) impacted by storm surge. In addition, the resulting maps of hazard exposure and community vulnerability provide a clear and useful example of the visual representation of the spatial distribution of the components of risk that can be helpful for developing targeted hazard mitigation and climate change adaptation strategies. Our results suggest that coastal agencies tasked with managing storm surge risk must consider the effects of sea level rise if they are to ensure safe and sustainable coastal communities in the future.
Starting Page	727
Ending Page	745
Page Count	19
File Format	PDF
ISSN	0921030X
Journal	Natural Hazards
Volume Number	60
Issue Number	2
e-ISSN	15730840
Language	English
Publisher	Springer Netherlands
Publisher Date	2011-12-04
Publisher Place	Dordrecht
Access Restriction	One Nation One Subscription (ONOS)
Subject Keyword	Storm surge Risk Social vulnerability Sea level rise Natural Hazards Environmental Management Civil Engineering Hydrogeology Geophysics/Geodesy Geotechnical Engineering & Applied Earth Sciences
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article
Subject	Atmospheric Science Water Science and Technology

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1	Ministry of Education (GoI), Department of Higher Education	Sanctioning Authority	https://www.education.gov.in/ict-initiatives
2	Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur	Host Institute of the Project: The host institute of the project is responsible for providing infrastructure support and hosting the project	https://www.iitkgp.ac.in
3	National Digital Library of India Office, Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur	The administrative and infrastructural headquarters of the project	Dr. B. Sutradhar bsutra@ndl.gov.in
4	Project PI / Joint PI	Principal Investigator and Joint Principal Investigators of the project	Dr. B. Sutradhar bsutra@ndl.gov.in Prof. Saswat Chakrabarti will be added soon
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Comment to Shepard, C.C., Agostini, V.N., Gilmer, B., Allen, T., Stone, J., Brooks, W., Beck, M.W.: Assessing future risk: quantifying the effects of sea level rise on storm surge risk for the southern shores of Long Island : New York, Natural Hazards, Volume 60, Issue 2, January 2012, pp 727–745

Comments on "Assessing future risk: quantifying the effects of sea level rise on storm surge risk for the southern shores of Long Island, New York," by Christine C. Shepard, et al (Natural Hazards, Vol. 60, No. 2, 727-745)

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Coastal vulnerability to sea-level rise: a spatial–temporal assessment framework

Estimation of increase in storm surge damage due to climate change and sea level rise in the Greater Tokyo area

A modeling study of coastal inundation induced by storm surge, sea-level rise, and subsidence in the Gulf of Mexico

Building with Nature: in search of resilient storm surge protection strategies ( Natural Hazards , Volume 66 , Issue 3 )

Assessing future risk: quantifying the effects of sea level rise on storm surge risk for the southern shores of Long Island, New York

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Comment to Shepard, C.C., Agostini, V.N., Gilmer, B., Allen, T., Stone, J., Brooks, W., Beck, M.W.: Assessing future risk: quantifying the effects of sea level rise on storm surge risk for the southern shores of Long Island : New York, Natural Hazards, Volume 60, Issue 2, January 2012, pp 727–745

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Assessing future risk: quantifying the effects of sea level rise on storm surge risk for the southern shores of Long Island, New York