NDLI: Critical parameter estimates for earthquake forecast using PI migration

Content Provider	Springer Nature Link
Author	Wu, Yi Hsuan Rundle, John B. Chen, Chien chih
Copyright Year	2014
Abstract	Parameters usually play a key role in statistical forecasting models and should be carefully determined because the physics of the system links to the statistical model through the parameters. To investigate the relations between parameters and pattern informatics (PI) migration, we developed a series of retrospective analyses. The results show that two parameters (i.e., cut magnitude and change interval) are essential factors of calculating PI migration. The cut magnitude is a lower cutoff magnitude applied to the catalog at the start of the analysis, and the result of the analysis shows that the PI migration hot spots are mostly distributed around the earthquakes with magnitude larger than target magnitude when the cut magnitude is 3.2–3.4 in most study regions. The change interval is a time span prior to the large event that we assumed to be the duration of the preparation process. In the retrospective analysis, the ability of PI migration hot spot to hit the target earthquake varies with change interval and the change interval that make PI migration hot spot to hit most target earthquakes varies with the study region. By using a retrospective analysis, we determined the optimal parameters for each study region, generating PI migration maps to show potential locations.
Starting Page	1357
Ending Page	1371
Page Count	15
File Format	PDF
ISSN	0921030X
Journal	Natural Hazards
Volume Number	76
Issue Number	2
e-ISSN	15730840
Language	English
Publisher	Springer Netherlands
Publisher Date	2014-12-14
Publisher Place	Dordrecht
Access Restriction	One Nation One Subscription (ONOS)
Subject Keyword	Pattern informatics Relative intensity Seismicity migration Critical parameter Natural Hazards Hydrogeology Geophysics/Geodesy Geotechnical Engineering & Applied Earth Sciences Civil Engineering Environmental Management
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article
Subject	Atmospheric Science Water Science and Technology

Sl.	Authority	Responsibilities	Communication Details
1	Ministry of Education (GoI), Department of Higher Education	Sanctioning Authority	https://www.education.gov.in/ict-initiatives
2	Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur	Host Institute of the Project: The host institute of the project is responsible for providing infrastructure support and hosting the project	https://www.iitkgp.ac.in
3	National Digital Library of India Office, Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur	The administrative and infrastructural headquarters of the project	Dr. B. Sutradhar bsutra@ndl.gov.in
4	Project PI / Joint PI	Principal Investigator and Joint Principal Investigators of the project	Dr. B. Sutradhar bsutra@ndl.gov.in Prof. Saswat Chakrabarti will be added soon
5	Website/Portal (Helpdesk)	Queries regarding NDLI and its services	support@ndl.gov.in
6	Contents and Copyright Issues	Queries related to content curation and copyright issues	content@ndl.gov.in
7	National Digital Library of India Club (NDLI Club)	Queries related to NDLI Club formation, support, user awareness program, seminar/symposium, collaboration, social media, promotion, and outreach	clubsupport@ndl.gov.in
8	Digital Preservation Centre (DPC)	Assistance with digitizing and archiving copyright-free printed books	dpc@ndl.gov.in
9	IDR Setup or Support	Queries related to establishment and support of Institutional Digital Repository (IDR) and IDR workshops	idr@ndl.gov.in

Assessing performances of pattern informatics method: a retrospective analysis for Iran and Italy

Historical seismicity in Mexico during 1568–1837: intensity evaluation and data reliability

Triggered/migrated seismicity due to the 2001 M $_{w}$7.7 Bhuj earthquake, Western India

Seismicity of Gujarat

The apparent paradox of exponentially distributed inter-earthquake intervals

Intensity distribution of M 4.9 Haryana–Delhi border earthquake

The October 20, 2011 M$_{w}$ 5.1 Talala earthquake in the stable continental region of India

Erratum to: Seismicity of Gujarat

Reviews of seismicity around Taiwan: Weibull distribution

Critical parameter estimates for earthquake forecast using PI migration

Similar Documents

Assessing performances of pattern informatics method: a retrospective analysis for Iran and Italy

Historical seismicity in Mexico during 1568–1837: intensity evaluation and data reliability

Triggered/migrated seismicity due to the 2001 M $_{w}$7.7 Bhuj earthquake, Western India

Seismicity of Gujarat

The apparent paradox of exponentially distributed inter-earthquake intervals

Intensity distribution of M 4.9 Haryana–Delhi border earthquake

The October 20, 2011 M$_{w}$ 5.1 Talala earthquake in the stable continental region of India

Erratum to: Seismicity of Gujarat

Reviews of seismicity around Taiwan: Weibull distribution

Critical parameter estimates for earthquake forecast using PI migration