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Probability Estimates of Field Areas and Trapped Oil Volumes

Natural Resources Research : Volume 10, Issue 1, March 2001

Natural Resources Research : Volume 9

Natural Resources Research : Volume 8

Natural Resources Research : Volume 7

Natural Resources Research : Volume 6

Probability Estimates of Field Areas and Trapped Oil Volumes

Content Provider	Springer Nature Link
Author	Anderson, Malcolm Gullco, Robert S.
Copyright Year	2001
Abstract	A portion of a sedimentary basin is subdivided conceptually into hexagons of equal area. The area of each hexagon is equal to the minimum area an oil field should have to be commercial. Hexagons can be ‘full’ of oil or ‘empty.’ A field size 1 consists of a cell with oil surrounded by six empty cells; a field size 2 consists of two adjacent cells with oil surrounded by eight empty cells, etc. Principles of Percolation Theory are used to determine the probability distribution of the areas of the oil fields existing in this portion of the basin. The only piece of information necessary to determine this probability distribution is the Success Ratio (number of successful exploration wells/total number of exploration wells drilled in this portion of the basin). This approach has several practical applications.A probabilistic model is introduced to predict to which extent potential oil traps are filled with oil. The model assumes that the probability that an oil unit will end up in a particular trap, is proportional to the surface area of the trap. The model predicts that independently of the distribution of the trap volumes, there will be a critical trap volume. All the traps having a volume less than this critical volume, will be filled to spill point. An equation is deduced to predict, for all traps having a volume greater than the critical, the volume of oil that can be encountered in the trap, provided the volume of the trap is known.
Starting Page	149
Ending Page	158
Page Count	10
File Format	PDF
ISSN	15207439
Journal	Natural Resources Research
Volume Number	10
Issue Number	2
e-ISSN	15738981
Language	English
Publisher	Kluwer Academic Publishers-Plenum Publishers
Publisher Date	2001-01-01
Publisher Place	New York
Access Restriction	One Nation One Subscription (ONOS)
Subject Keyword	Economic Geology Hydrogeology Math. Applications in Geosciences Sedimentology
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article
Subject	Environmental Science

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