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| Content Provider | Springer Nature Link |
|---|---|
| Author | Price, Jessica M. Silbernagel, Janet Nixon, Kristina Swearingen, Amanda Swaty, Randy Miller, Nicholas |
| Copyright Year | 2015 |
| Abstract | Broad-scale land conservation and management often involve applying multiple strategies in a single landscape. However, the potential outcomes of such arrangements remain difficult to evaluate given the interactions of ecosystem dynamics, resource extraction, and natural disturbances. The costs and potential risks of implementing these strategies make robust evaluation critical.We used collaborative scenario modeling to compare the potential outcomes of alternative management strategies in the Two Hearted River watershed in Michigan’s Upper Peninsula to answer key questions: Which management strategies best achieve conservation goals of maintaining landscape spatial heterogeneity and conserving mature forests and wetlands? And how does an increase in wildfire and windthrow disturbances influence these outcomes?Scenarios were modeled using the VDDT/TELSA state-and-transition modeling suite, and resulting land cover maps were analyzed using ArcGIS, FRAGSTATS, and R statistical software.Results indicate that blending conservation strategies, such as single-ownership forest reserves and working forest conservation easements in targeted areas of the landscape, may better achieve these goals than applying a single strategy across the same area. However, strategies that best achieve these conservation goals may increase the sensitivity of the landscape to changes in wildfire and windthrow disturbance regimes.These results inform decision-making about which conservation strategy or combination of strategies to apply in specific locations on the landscape to achieve optimum conservation outcomes, how to best utilize scarce financial resources, and how to reduce the financial and ecological risks associated with the application of innovative strategies in an uncertain future. |
| Starting Page | 1093 |
| Ending Page | 1115 |
| Page Count | 23 |
| File Format | |
| ISSN | 09212973 |
| Journal | Landscape Ecology |
| Volume Number | 31 |
| Issue Number | 5 |
| e-ISSN | 15729761 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | Springer Netherlands |
| Publisher Date | 2015-12-19 |
| Publisher Place | Dordrecht |
| Access Restriction | Subscribed |
| Subject Keyword | Landscape scenarios Forest landscape modeling State and transition modeling Working forest conservation easement Conservation planning Stakeholder engagement Landscape Ecology Ecology Nature Conservation Landscape/Regional and Urban Planning Sustainable Development Environmental Management |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
| Subject | Geography, Planning and Development Ecology Nature and Landscape Conservation |
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