NDLI: Past, present and future of wild ungulates in relation to changes in land use

Content Provider	Springer Nature Link
Author	Acevedo, Pelayo Farfán, Miguel Ángel Márquez, Ana Luz Delibes Mateos, Miguel Real, Raimundo Vargas, Juan Mario
Copyright Year	2010
Abstract	In recent decades, Mediterranean landscapes have been experiencing more rapid changes in land use than usual, which have affected the ecology of the species inhabiting this biodiversity hotspot. Some studies have assessed the effect of such changes on biodiversity, but most of these were diachronic studies of population dynamics, or synchronic studies of species habitat selection, whereas few studies have simultaneously taken into account temporal changes in habitat composition and changes in species distribution. This study analysed the effects of land-use changes on the distribution of wild ungulates (Capreolus capreolus, Capra pyrenaica, Cervus elaphus and Sus scrofa). Using favourability function and Markov chain analysis combined with cellular automata, we addressed the following objectives: (i) to examine the environmental determinants of ungulate distribution in the past (1960s) and present (1990s), (ii) to model land use for 2040 to forecast future species distributions and (iii) to assess the biogeographical differences between the above-mentioned study periods (past–present and present–future). Species favourability was predicted to be more widely distributed in the present than in the past, but this increase varied across species. Areas predicted to be favourable in the present should remain stable in the future, but in addition there will be more new favourable areas not previously occupied by these species. The results are discussed from the perspective of the socio-economic relevance of wild ungulates in relation to some unfavourable areas of Mediterranean regions.
Starting Page	19
Ending Page	31
Page Count	13
File Format	PDF
ISSN	09212973
Journal	Landscape Ecology
Volume Number	26
Issue Number	1
e-ISSN	15729761
Language	English
Publisher	Springer Netherlands
Publisher Date	2010-10-19
Publisher Place	Dordrecht
Access Restriction	Subscribed
Subject Keyword	Bovidae Cervidae Favourability function Global change Markov analysis Predictive models Suidae Plant Sciences Ecology Forestry Plant Ecology Landscape Ecology Forestry Management
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article
Subject	Geography, Planning and Development Ecology Nature and Landscape Conservation

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