NDLI: A Synthetic Control Approach to Evaluating Place-Based Crime Interventions

Content Provider	Springer Nature Link
Author	Saunders, Jessica Lundberg, Russell Braga, Anthony A. Ridgeway, Greg Miles, Jeremy
Copyright Year	2014
Abstract	This paper presents a new quasi-experimental approach to assessing place based policing to encourage the careful evaluation of policing programs, strategies, and operations for researchers to conduct retrospective evaluations of policing programs.We use a synthetic control model to reduce the bias introduced by models using non-equivalent comparison groups to evaluate High Point’s Drug Market Intervention and demonstrate the method and its versatility for evaluating programs retrospectively.The synthetic control method was able to identify a very good match across all socio-demographic and crime data for the intervention and comparison area. Using a variety of statistical models, the impact of High Point Drug Market Intervention on crime was estimated to be larger than previous evaluations with little evidence of displacement.The synthetic control method represents a significant improvement over the earlier retrospective evaluations of crime prevention programs, but there is still room for improvement. This is particularly important in an age where rigorous scientific research is being used more and more to guide program development and implementation.
Starting Page	413
Ending Page	434
Page Count	22
File Format	PDF
ISSN	07484518
Journal	Journal of Quantitative Criminology
Volume Number	31
Issue Number	3
e-ISSN	15737799
Language	English
Publisher	Springer US
Publisher Date	2014-06-03
Publisher Place	New York
Access Restriction	One Nation One Subscription (ONOS)
Subject Keyword	Synthetic control Quasi-experimental design Drug Market Intervention Program evaluation Criminology & Criminal Justice Sociology Methodology of the Social Sciences Statistics
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article
Subject	Law Pathology and Forensic Medicine

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