NDLI: Verification of tropical cyclone heat potential for tropical cyclone intensity forecasting in the Western North Pacific

Please wait, while we are loading the content...

Seasonal variations in the source of sea bottom organic matter off Catalonia coasts (western Mediterranean): links with hydrography and biological response

Seasonal variations in abundance, biomass and grazing rates of microzooplankton in a tropical monsoonal estuary

Temporal variability of the current in the northeastern South China Sea revealed by 2.5-year-long moored observations

Verification of tropical cyclone heat potential for tropical cyclone intensity forecasting in the Western North Pacific

Decadal variability of Subtropical Mode Water subduction and its impact on biogeochemistry

Tropical cyclone-induced vertical water transfer and its variability in the North Atlantic and North Pacific

Vertical and horizontal structures of the North Pacific subtropical gyre axis

Calcium carbonate saturation and ocean acidification in Tokyo Bay, Japan

Formation of the well-mixed homogeneous layer in the bottom water of the Japan Sea

Mass-induced sea level variations in the Gulf of Carpentaria

Journal of Oceanography : Volume 71, Issue 3, June 2015

Journal of Oceanography : Volume 71, Issue 2, April 2015

Journal of Oceanography : Volume 71, Issue 1, February 2015

Journal of Oceanography : Volume 70

Journal of Oceanography : Volume 69

Journal of Oceanography : Volume 68

Journal of Oceanography : Volume 67

Journal of Oceanography : Volume 66

Journal of Oceanography : Volume 65

Journal of Oceanography : Volume 64

Journal of Oceanography : Volume 63

Journal of Oceanography : Volume 62

Journal of Oceanography : Volume 61

Journal of Oceanography : Volume 60

Journal of Oceanography : Volume 59

Journal of Oceanography : Volume 58

Journal of Oceanography : Volume 57

Journal of Oceanography : Volume 56

Journal of Oceanography : Volume 55

Journal of Oceanography : Volume 54

Journal of Oceanography : Volume 53

Verification of tropical cyclone heat potential for tropical cyclone intensity forecasting in the Western North Pacific

Content Provider	Springer Nature Link
Author	Wada, Akiyoshi
Copyright Year	2015
Abstract	Tropical cyclone heat potential (TCHP) is a measurable metric calculated by the summation of ocean heat content from the surface down to the depth of the 26 °C isotherm. TCHP calculated by the Meteorological Research Institute multivariate ocean variational estimation (MOVE) system is verified by using TCHP based on in situ observations by profiling floats during 2002–2012. After the verification, the threshold of MOVE-based TCHP before the passage of a tropical cyclone (TC) favorable for triggering TC deepening is determined by best-track central pressure drops for the nearest 6 hours from 1985 to 2012. The threshold is specified as the minimum range of TCHP when the ratio of the number of records for TC deepening to the total best-track number of records in a TCHP bin is significantly greater than the reference ratio determined for each domain at a significance level of 0.05. The threshold is relatively low (40–60 kJ cm$^{−2}$) around 5–10°N, west of 120°E and east of 140°E, whereas it is relatively high (80–100 kJ cm$^{−2}$) around 15–20°N. Around 5–10°N, the ratio for each moving speed shows two peaks: with moving speeds of 3–5 and 7–9 m s$^{−1}$. The former case is exemplified by Typhoon Mike (1990) under relatively low TCHP (< 80 kJ cm$^{−2}$), whereas the latter case is exemplified by Typhoon Haiyan (2013), which is more rapidly intensified and reaches a lower minimum central pressure under relatively high TCHP (>120 kJ cm$^{−2}$).
Starting Page	373
Ending Page	387
Page Count	15
File Format	PDF
ISSN	09168370
Journal	Journal of Oceanography
Volume Number	71
Issue Number	4
e-ISSN	1573868X
Language	English
Publisher	Springer Japan
Publisher Date	2015-05-10
Publisher Place	Tokyo
Access Restriction	One Nation One Subscription (ONOS)
Subject Keyword	Tropical cyclone intensity forecast Tropical cyclone deepening Tropical cyclone heat potential 26 °C isothermal depth Ocean data assimilation Profiling float Oceanography Freshwater & Marine Ecology
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article
Subject	Oceanography

Sl.	Authority	Responsibilities	Communication Details
1	Ministry of Education (GoI), Department of Higher Education	Sanctioning Authority	https://www.education.gov.in/ict-initiatives
2	Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur	Host Institute of the Project: The host institute of the project is responsible for providing infrastructure support and hosting the project	https://www.iitkgp.ac.in
3	National Digital Library of India Office, Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur	The administrative and infrastructural headquarters of the project	Dr. B. Sutradhar bsutra@ndl.gov.in
4	Project PI / Joint PI	Principal Investigator and Joint Principal Investigators of the project	Dr. B. Sutradhar bsutra@ndl.gov.in Prof. Saswat Chakrabarti will be added soon
5	Website/Portal (Helpdesk)	Queries regarding NDLI and its services	support@ndl.gov.in
6	Contents and Copyright Issues	Queries related to content curation and copyright issues	content@ndl.gov.in
7	National Digital Library of India Club (NDLI Club)	Queries related to NDLI Club formation, support, user awareness program, seminar/symposium, collaboration, social media, promotion, and outreach	clubsupport@ndl.gov.in
8	Digital Preservation Centre (DPC)	Assistance with digitizing and archiving copyright-free printed books	dpc@ndl.gov.in
9	IDR Setup or Support	Queries related to establishment and support of Institutional Digital Repository (IDR) and IDR workshops	idr@ndl.gov.in

Importance of tropical cyclone heat potential for tropical cyclone intensity and intensification in the Western North Pacific

Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Intensity Guidance Evaluations Using an Alternative Verification Technique

A primary study of the correlation between the net air-sea heat flux and the interannual variation of western North Pacific tropical cyclone track and intensity

NCEP NOTES Statistical, 5-Day Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasts Derived from Climatology and Persistence (2002)

Skill of western North Pacific tropical cyclone intensity forecast guidance relative to Weighted-Analog technique

14a.4 western north pacific tropical cyclone intensity climatology and jtwc intensity forecast error study.

Experiments with a simple tropical cyclone intensity consensus (2007).

Importance of tropical cyclone heat potential for tropical cyclone intensity and intensification in the Western North Pacific

Tropical cyclone-induced vertical water transfer and its variability in the North Atlantic and North Pacific

Verification of tropical cyclone heat potential for tropical cyclone intensity forecasting in the Western North Pacific

Similar Documents

Importance of tropical cyclone heat potential for tropical cyclone intensity and intensification in the Western North Pacific

Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Intensity Guidance Evaluations Using an Alternative Verification Technique

A primary study of the correlation between the net air-sea heat flux and the interannual variation of western North Pacific tropical cyclone track and intensity

NCEP NOTES Statistical, 5-Day Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasts Derived from Climatology and Persistence (2002)

Skill of western North Pacific tropical cyclone intensity forecast guidance relative to Weighted-Analog technique

14a.4 western north pacific tropical cyclone intensity climatology and jtwc intensity forecast error study.

Experiments with a simple tropical cyclone intensity consensus (2007).

Importance of tropical cyclone heat potential for tropical cyclone intensity and intensification in the Western North Pacific

Tropical cyclone-induced vertical water transfer and its variability in the North Atlantic and North Pacific

Verification of tropical cyclone heat potential for tropical cyclone intensity forecasting in the Western North Pacific