NDLI: Did the Economic Crisis Cause the Fertility Decline in Russia: Evidence from the 1994 Microcensus

Content Provider	Springer Nature Link
Author	Kharkova, Tatiana L. Andreev, Evgueny M.
Copyright Year	2000
Abstract	Between 1989 and 1993, the total fertility rate inRussia dropped from 2.01 to 1.38, a fall ofunprecedented size in peacetime. The more commonexplanation asserts that the fertility decrease is thepopulation's response to the socio-economic crisisoccurring in the country. The alternative hypothesisstates that the fertility decrease is just acontinuation of the long-term trend, while the crisishas accelerated this process. On the basis ofindividual data obtained in the 1994 microcensus,which involved 5 per cent of Russia's population, thispaper attempts to find arguments for and against eachof the two hypotheses The analysis is based onquestionnaires of 798 thousand women born between 1959and 1975. Three indicators of fertility areinvestigated: frequency of birth in 1993, expectednumber of children, and desired number of children.These indicators are linked to 28 backgroundcharacteristics, including marital status, number ofchildren ever born, ethnicity, level of education,housing condition, and income level. The data do notreveal essential fertility differentiation by economicstatus, which would be present of the first hypothesiswere right. At the same time, a clear connection isfound between the frequency of births in 1993 and suchsocio-cultural markers as living in town orcountryside, ethnicity, and the desired number ofchildren. In addition, 1993 fertility actuallyconforms to women's opinions about the number ofchildren they intend to have. These results cast doubton the hypothesis that the economic crisis is the mainand only cause of the recent fertility decrease inRussia.
Starting Page	211
Ending Page	233
Page Count	23
File Format	PDF
ISSN	01686577
Journal	European Journal of Population / Revue européenne de Démographie
Volume Number	16
Issue Number	3
e-ISSN	15729885
Language	English
Publisher	Kluwer Academic Publishers
Publisher Date	2000-01-01
Publisher Place	Dordrecht
Access Restriction	Subscribed
Subject Keyword	Population Economics Public Finance & Economics Methodology of the Social Sciences Sociology
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article
Subject	Demography

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