NDLI: Population Decline, Labor Force Stability, and the Future of the Japanese Economy

Content Provider	Springer Nature Link
Author	Clark, Robert L. Ogawa, Naohiro Kondo, Makoto Matsukura, Rikiya
Copyright Year	2009
Abstract	Demographic trends in Japan are producing a declining population that is rapidly growing older. With a total fertility rate of around 1.3 children per woman, the population has already begun to decline. This article examines the impact of these demographic trends on the level of employment and economic growth that Japan is projected to experience over the next 20 years. We explore the effect of changes in labor market policies on age-specific employment rates and assess whether innovative policies can moderate the decline in employment. Public policies encouraging increased employment of women and persons aged 60 and older could partially offset the anticipated decline in employment. The importance of the Japanese experience for European policy makers is discussed.Les évolutions démographiques au Japon conduisent au déclin et au vieillissement de la population. Avec un indice synthétique de fécondité de 1,3, la population a déjà commencé à baisser. Cet article examine l’impact de ces évolutions démographiques sur les projections de taux d’emploi et de croissance économique des vingt prochaines années. Nous explorons les effets des changements des politiques du marché du travail sur les taux d’emploi par âge, avec un intérêt particulier pour le rôle des politiques novatrices comme facteur de modération de la baisse du taux d’emploi. Les politiques en faveur de l’emploi des femmes et des personnes de 60 ans et plus pourraient en partie contrebalancer la chute attendue du taux d’emploi. L’importance de l’expérience Japonaise comme matière à réflexion pour les décideurs en Europe est discutée.
Starting Page	207
Ending Page	227
Page Count	21
File Format	PDF
ISSN	01686577
Journal	European Journal of Population / Revue européenne de Démographie
Volume Number	26
Issue Number	2
e-ISSN	15729885
Language	English
Publisher	Springer Netherlands
Publisher Date	2009-03-04
Publisher Place	Dordrecht
Access Restriction	Subscribed
Subject Keyword	Basse fécondité Japon Déclin de la population Vieillissement de la population Methodology of the Social Sciences Public Finance & Economics Population Economics Human Geography Sociology Demography
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article
Subject	Demography

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