NDLI: Near-miss events, risk messages, and decision making

Content Provider	Springer Nature Link
Author	Dillon, Robin L. Tinsley, Catherine H.
Copyright Year	2015
Abstract	Decades of research have sought to understand how disaster preparedness decisions are made. We believe one understudied factor is the impact of near-miss events. A near-miss occurs when an event (such as a hurricane or terrorist attack) has some non-trivial probability of ending in disaster (loss of life, property damage), but the negative outcome is avoided largely by chance (e.g., at the last minute, the storm dissipates or the bomb fails to detonate). In the first of two experiments, we study reactions to a hurricane threat when participants are told about prior near-miss events. We find that people with information about a prior near-miss event that has no negative consequences are less likely to take protective measures than those with either no information or information about a prior near-miss event that has salient negative information. Similar results have been shown in prior research, but we seek to understand people’s reasoning for the different reactions. We examine the role of an individual’s risk propensity and general level of optimism as possible explanatory variables for the “near-miss” effect. We find risk propensity to be stable across conditions, whereas general optimism is influenced by the type of prior near-miss information, so that optimism mediates how near-miss information impacts protective decisions. People who experience a potentially hazardous near-miss but escape without obvious cues of damage will feel more optimistic and take less protective action. In the second study, we test messages about the hazard’s risk and examine the impact of these messages to offset the influence of near-misses. We end by discussing the implications of near-misses for risk communication.
Starting Page	34
Ending Page	44
Page Count	11
File Format	PDF
ISSN	21945403
Journal	Environmentalist
Volume Number	36
Issue Number	1
e-ISSN	21945411
Language	English
Publisher	Springer US
Publisher Date	2015-11-18
Publisher Place	New York
Access Restriction	One Nation One Subscription (ONOS)
Subject Keyword	Near-misses Risk perception Hazard warnings Natural disasters Environment Environmental Management Sustainable Development Environmental Engineering/Biotechnology Environmental Economics
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article
Subject	Environmental Science

Sl.	Authority	Responsibilities	Communication Details
1	Ministry of Education (GoI), Department of Higher Education	Sanctioning Authority	https://www.education.gov.in/ict-initiatives
2	Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur	Host Institute of the Project: The host institute of the project is responsible for providing infrastructure support and hosting the project	https://www.iitkgp.ac.in
3	National Digital Library of India Office, Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur	The administrative and infrastructural headquarters of the project	Dr. B. Sutradhar bsutra@ndl.gov.in
4	Project PI / Joint PI	Principal Investigator and Joint Principal Investigators of the project	Dr. B. Sutradhar bsutra@ndl.gov.in Prof. Saswat Chakrabarti will be added soon
5	Website/Portal (Helpdesk)	Queries regarding NDLI and its services	support@ndl.gov.in
6	Contents and Copyright Issues	Queries related to content curation and copyright issues	content@ndl.gov.in
7	National Digital Library of India Club (NDLI Club)	Queries related to NDLI Club formation, support, user awareness program, seminar/symposium, collaboration, social media, promotion, and outreach	clubsupport@ndl.gov.in
8	Digital Preservation Centre (DPC)	Assistance with digitizing and archiving copyright-free printed books	dpc@ndl.gov.in
9	IDR Setup or Support	Queries related to establishment and support of Institutional Digital Repository (IDR) and IDR workshops	idr@ndl.gov.in

Heuristics and biases in cyber security dilemmas

Supporting decision-making for sustainable nanotechnology

Multi-hazard, multi-infrastructure, economic scenario analysis

Collective risk management: insights and opportunities for DoD decision-makers

Nanomaterial risk screening: a structured approach to aid decision making under uncertainty

Cyber first aid: proactive risk management and decision-making

How to manage natural risks in mountain areas in a context of imperfect information? New frameworks and paradigms for expert assessments and decision-making

Application of systems modeling and risk assessment to address real-world decision-making challenges

Tools and strategies for climate change decision making

Near-miss events, risk messages, and decision making

Similar Documents

Heuristics and biases in cyber security dilemmas

Supporting decision-making for sustainable nanotechnology

Multi-hazard, multi-infrastructure, economic scenario analysis

Collective risk management: insights and opportunities for DoD decision-makers

Nanomaterial risk screening: a structured approach to aid decision making under uncertainty

Cyber first aid: proactive risk management and decision-making

How to manage natural risks in mountain areas in a context of imperfect information? New frameworks and paradigms for expert assessments and decision-making

Application of systems modeling and risk assessment to address real-world decision-making challenges

Tools and strategies for climate change decision making

Near-miss events, risk messages, and decision making