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| Content Provider | Springer Nature Link |
|---|---|
| Author | Sun, Yu Tong, Susanna T. Y. Fang, Mao Yang, Y. Jeffrey |
| Copyright Year | 2013 |
| Abstract | The Las Vegas Valley metropolitan area is one of the fastest growing areas in the southwestern United States. The rapid urbanization has presented many environmental challenges. For instance, as population growth and urbanization continue, the supply of sufficient clean water will become a concern. In addition, the area is also experiencing the longest drought in history, and the volume of water storage in Lake Mead, the main fresh water supply for the entire region, has been reduced greatly. The water quality in the main stem of the Las Vegas Wash (LVW) and Lake Mead may also be significantly affected. In order to develop effective sustainable management plans, the very first step is to predict the plausible future urbanization and land use patterns. This paper presents an approach to predict the future land use pattern at the LVW watershed using a Markov cellular automata model. The multi-criteria evaluation was used to couple population density as a variable depicting the driving force of urbanization in the model. Moreover, landscape metrics were used to analyze land use changes in order to better understand the dynamics of urban development in the LVW watershed. The predicted future land use maps for the years 2030 and 2050 show substantial urban development in the area, much of which are located in areas sensitive to source water protections. The results of the analysis provide valuable information for local planners and policy makers, assisting their efforts in constructing alternative sustainable urban development schemes and environmental management strategies. |
| Starting Page | 1495 |
| Ending Page | 1515 |
| Page Count | 21 |
| File Format | |
| ISSN | 1387585X |
| Journal | Environment, Development and Sustainability |
| Volume Number | 15 |
| Issue Number | 6 |
| e-ISSN | 15732975 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | Springer Netherlands |
| Publisher Date | 2013-03-12 |
| Publisher Place | Dordrecht |
| Access Restriction | One Nation One Subscription (ONOS) |
| Subject Keyword | Urbanization Land use change CA-Markov MCE Kernel density Landscape metrics Sustainable Development Environmental Management Environmental Economics Ecology Economic Growth Economic Geology |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
| Subject | Geography, Planning and Development Economics and Econometrics Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law |
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