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| Content Provider | Springer Nature Link |
|---|---|
| Author | Pilbeam, Keith Langeland, Kjell ralf |
| Copyright Year | 2014 |
| Abstract | This study investigates whether different specifications of univariate GARCH models can usefully forecast volatility in the foreign exchange market. The study compares in-sample forecasts from symmetric and asymmetric GARCH models with the implied volatility derived from currency options for four dollar parities. The data set covers the period 2002 to 2012. We divide the data into two periods one for the period 2002 to 2007 which is characterised by low volatility and the other for the period 2008 to 2012 characterised by high volatility. The results of this paper reveal that the implied volatility forecasts significantly outperform the three GARCH models in both low and high volatility periods. The results strongly suggest that the foreign exchange market efficiently prices in future volatility. |
| Starting Page | 127 |
| Ending Page | 142 |
| Page Count | 16 |
| File Format | |
| ISSN | 16124804 |
| Journal | International Economics and Economic Policy |
| Volume Number | 12 |
| Issue Number | 1 |
| e-ISSN | 16124812 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | Springer Berlin Heidelberg |
| Publisher Date | 2014-05-09 |
| Publisher Place | Berlin, Heidelberg |
| Access Restriction | One Nation One Subscription (ONOS) |
| Subject Keyword | Exchange Rate Volatility modelling International Economics Economic Policy Macroeconomics/Monetary Economics Public Finance & Economics Financial Economics |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
| Subject | Economics and Econometrics |
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