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| Content Provider | Springer Nature Link |
|---|---|
| Author | Kocabas, Verda Dragicevic, Suzana |
| Copyright Year | 2012 |
| Abstract | Land-use change models grounded in complexity theory such as agent-based models (ABMs) are increasingly being used to examine evolving urban systems. The objective of this study is to develop a spatial model that simulates land-use change under the influence of human land-use choice behavior. This is achieved by integrating the key physical and social drivers of land-use change using Bayesian networks (BNs) coupled with agent-based modeling. The BNAS model, integrated Bayesian network–based agent system, presented in this study uses geographic information systems, ABMs, BNs, and influence diagram principles to model population change on an irregular spatial structure. The model is parameterized with historical data and then used to simulate 20 years of future population and land-use change for the City of Surrey, British Columbia, Canada. The simulation results identify feasible new urban areas for development around the main transportation corridors. The obtained new development areas and the projected population trajectories with the“what-if” scenario capabilities can provide insights into urban planners for better and more informed land-use policy or decision-making processes. |
| Starting Page | 403 |
| Ending Page | 426 |
| Page Count | 24 |
| File Format | |
| ISSN | 14355930 |
| Journal | Journal of Geographical Systems |
| Volume Number | 15 |
| Issue Number | 4 |
| e-ISSN | 14355949 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | Springer Berlin Heidelberg |
| Publisher Date | 2012-06-20 |
| Publisher Place | Berlin, Heidelberg |
| Access Restriction | One Nation One Subscription (ONOS) |
| Subject Keyword | Agent-based models (ABMs) Bayesian networks (BNs) Cellular automata (CA) Geographic information systems (GIS) Land-use change Population change Regional/Spatial Science Geographical Information Systems/Cartography Computer Application in Social and Behavioral Sciences Landscape/Regional and Urban Planning Quantitative Geography Simulation and Modeling |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
| Subject | Earth-Surface Processes Geography, Planning and Development Economics and Econometrics |
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