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| Content Provider | Springer Nature Link |
|---|---|
| Author | Wong, Kum Yeen Chuah, Joon Huang Hope, Chris |
| Copyright Year | 2015 |
| Abstract | The PAGE09 model is a revised version of the earlier PAGE2002 and PAGE95 integrated assessment models (IAMs) that have been extensively used to evaluate climate change impacts and the social costs and benefits of different abatement and adaptation policies under uncertainty. This paper investigates the use of the latest PAGE09 model as a policy-oriented tool in determining an efficient climate change policy that internalises the mean social cost of carbon dioxide (SCCO2). We show that the choice of final analysis year, time horizon and the carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions pathway in the PAGE09 model do significantly affect the model results for the SCCO2 and its trajectory over time and so the prescriptions of future climate policy. Further analysis shows that a constant time horizon and a slight modification of the penultimate analysis year which is currently fixed in the default model help avoid the underestimation of the SCCO2 in future years. This paper also highlights the potential benefit of a consensus position on the specification of time horizon for the development of future IAMs to aid policy making. |
| Starting Page | 2361 |
| Ending Page | 2374 |
| Page Count | 14 |
| File Format | |
| ISSN | 1618954X |
| Journal | Clean Technologies and Environmental Policy |
| Volume Number | 17 |
| Issue Number | 8 |
| e-ISSN | 16189558 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | Springer Berlin Heidelberg |
| Publisher Date | 2015-06-02 |
| Publisher Place | Berlin, Heidelberg |
| Access Restriction | One Nation One Subscription (ONOS) |
| Subject Keyword | Integrated assessment models Time horizon Social cost of carbon dioxide Climate policy Sustainable Development Industrial Chemistry/Chemical Engineering Industrial and Production Engineering Environmental Engineering/Biotechnology Environmental Economics |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
| Subject | Environmental Chemistry Environmental Engineering Economics and Econometrics Business, Management and Accounting Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law |
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