NDLI: Overview of mitigation scenarios for global climate stabilization based on new IPCC emission scenarios (SRES)

Content Provider	Springer Nature Link
Author	Morita, Tsuneyuki Nakićević, Nebos̆ja Robinson, John
Copyright Year	2000
Abstract	This paper provides an overview of new emission mitigation scenarios that lead to stabilization of atmospheric CO2 concentrations, presented in this Special Issue. All of these scenarios use as their baselines the new IPCC scenarios published in the IPCC Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES), which quantify a wide range of future worlds. This means the new mitigation and stabilization scenarios are based on a range of future development paths that have fundamental implications for future emissions reduction strategies. Here, we refer to these new scenarios as “Post-SRES” mitigation scenarios. In addition to providing an overview of these new scenarios, this paper also assesses the implications that emerge from a range of alternative development baselines for technology and policy measures for reducing future emissions and stabilizing atmospheric CO2 concentrations. Nine modeling teams have participated in this joint effort to quantify a wide range of mitigation and stabilization scenarios. The nine modeling approaches involve different methodologies, data, regional aggregations and other salient characteristics. This pluralism of approaches and alternative baselines serves to cover some of the uncertainties embedded across a range of different mitigation and stabilization strategies. At the same time, several common trends and characteristics can be observed across the set of Post-SRES scenarios. First, the different baseline “worlds” described in the SRES scenarios require different technology/policy measures to stabilize atmospheric CO2 concentrations at the same level. Second, no one single measure will be sufficient for the timely development, adoption and diffusion of mitigation options to achieve stabilization. Third, the level of technology/policy measures in the beginning of the 21st century that would be needed to achieve stabilization would be significantly affected by the choice of development path over next one hundred years. And finally, several “robust policy options” across the different worlds are identified for achieving stabilizations.
Starting Page	65
Ending Page	88
Page Count	24
File Format	PDF
ISSN	1432847X
Journal	Environmental Economics and Policy Studies
Volume Number	3
Issue Number	2
e-ISSN	1867383X
Language	English
Publisher	Springer-Verlag
Publisher Date	2014-09-26
Publisher Place	Tokyo
Access Restriction	One Nation One Subscription (ONOS)
Subject Keyword	Climate change Mitigation scenarios IPCC-SRES Computer simulation model Robust policy options Environmental Economics Social Policy
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article
Subject	Economics and Econometrics Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law

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1	Ministry of Education (GoI), Department of Higher Education	Sanctioning Authority	https://www.education.gov.in/ict-initiatives
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