NDLI: Progress in the study of nonlinear atmospheric dynamics and predictability of weather and climate in China (2007

Content Provider	Springer Nature Link
Author	Zhou, Feifan Ding, Ruiqiang Feng, Guolin Fu, Zuntao Duan, Wansuo
Copyright Year	2012
Abstract	Recent progress in the study of nonlinear atmospheric dynamics and related predictability of weather and climate in China (2007–2011) are briefly introduced in this article.Major achievements in the study of nonlinear atmospheric dynamics have been classified into two types: (1) progress based on the analysis of solutions of simplified control equations, such as the dynamics of NAO, the optimal precursors for blocking onset, and the behavior of nonlinear waves, and (2) progress based on data analyses, such as the nonlinear analyses of fluctuations and recording-breaking temperature events, the long-range correlation of extreme events, and new methods of detecting abrupt dynamical change.Major achievements in the study of predictability include the following: (1) the application of nonlinear local Lyapunov exponents (NLLE) to weather and climate predictability; (2) the application of condition nonlinear optimal perturbation (CNOP) to the studies of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) predictions, ensemble forecasting, targeted observation, and sensitivity analysis of the ecosystem; and (3) new strategies proposed for predictability studies.The results of these studies have provided greater understanding of the dynamics and nonlinear mechanisms of atmospheric motion, and they represent new ideas for developing numerical models and improving the forecast skill of weather and climate events.
Starting Page	1048
Ending Page	1062
Page Count	15
File Format	PDF
ISSN	02561530
Journal	Advances in Atmospheric Sciences
Volume Number	29
Issue Number	5
e-ISSN	18619533
Language	English
Publisher	SP Science Press
Publisher Date	2012-08-12
Publisher Place	Heidelberg
Access Restriction	One Nation One Subscription (ONOS)
Subject Keyword	nonlinear atmospheric dynamics predictability weather climate Geophysics/Geodesy Meteorology/Climatology
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article
Subject	Atmospheric Science

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