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The effect of human mobility and control measures on the COVID-19 epidemic in China
| Content Provider | Semantic Scholar |
|---|---|
| Author | Moritz U.G. Kraemer Chia-Hung Yang Bernardo Gutierrez Chieh-Hsi Wu Brennan Klein David M. Pigott Louis du Plessis Nuno R. Faria Ruoran Li William P. Hanage John S. Brownstein Maylis Layan Alessandro Vespignani Huaiyu Tian Christopher Dye Simon Cauchemez Oliver Pybus Samuel V. Scarpino |
| Copyright Year | 2020 |
| Abstract | The ongoing COVID-19 outbreak has expanded rapidly throughout China. Major behavioral, clinical, and state interventions are underway currently to mitigate the epidemic and prevent the persistence of the virus in human populations in China and worldwide. It remains unclear how these unprecedented interventions, including travel restrictions, have affected COVID-19 spread in China. We use real-time mobility data from Wuhan and detailed case data including travel history to elucidate the role of case importation on transmission in cities across China and ascertain the impact of control measures. Early on, the spatial distribution of COVID-19 cases in China was well explained by human mobility data. Following the implementation of control measures, this correlation dropped and growth rates became negative in most locations, although shifts in the demographics of reported cases are still indicative of local chains of transmission outside Wuhan. This study shows that the drastic control measures implemented in China have substantially mitigated the spread of COVID-19. |
| File Format | HTM / HTML |
| DOI | 10.1101/2020.03.02.20026708 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | medrxiv |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Rights Holder | medrvix |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article Preprint |
