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Análisis del cambio de cobertura y uso de suelo durante el periodo 1995 –2011, EMC y autómatas celulares para la predicción del crecimiento urbano, el caso de ciudad Cuauhtémoc, Chihuahua
| Content Provider | Semantic Scholar |
|---|---|
| Author | Loya, Jiménez Torres, María Elba Bravo, Luis Chamorro Alatorre, Luis C. |
| Copyright Year | 2015 |
| Abstract | The study of spatio-temporal dynamics of the soil allowsknowing the trends of deforestation, degradation, desertification and los s of biodiversity in a specific region. Therefore, th e objective of this work was determined which land cover or land use, will be the most affected because of urban growth in the year 2019, in the city of Cuauhtemoc, Chihuahua. Photo interpretation techniques were used and Geographic Information Systems (GIS) for to map the classes: agricultural crops, urbanor built, wat er, bare soil, forest and grassland for the years 1995, 2003 and 2011. Through Markov chain model were obtained the probabilities of change by class. A Multi-Criteria Evaluation (EMC) for all classes except water, allowed defines the suitability of la nd for growth. By integrating the three previous products, was simulated by the year 2019. The model indicates that the grassland and bare soil classes are more likely to be affected by urban growth, also, real growth rates indicate that urban use during the period 1995-2011 increased gradually, mainly at the expense of agricultural use. The results highlight the inappropriate use planning policy, causing a uncontrolled urban growth with strong impacts on the environment. The work here presented, intended to be an instrument to support the establishment of regional development mechanisms more favorably. |
| File Format | PDF HTM / HTML |
| Alternate Webpage(s) | http://erecursos.uacj.mx/bitstream/handle/20.500.11961/2082/Jaime_Octavio_Loya_Carrillo.pdf?isAllowed=y&sequence=1 |
| Language | English |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
