NDLI: Utilization of agent based modelling for energy planning – Transport energy demand modelling

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Utilization of agent based modelling for energy planning – Transport energy demand modelling

Content Provider	Semantic Scholar
Copyright Year	2014
Abstract	The transport sector represents a serious energy consumer in most energy systems across the EU and wider. In Croatia for example, the transport sector accounted for 32.8% of the final energy consumption in 2011 making it the second most energy demanding sector right after buildings with 43% and a large portion of that energy demand is linked to road transport and personal vehicles. Because of their higher efficiency, a modal switch from conventional internal combustion engines (ICE) to electric vehicles (EVs) has the potential to greatly reduce the overall energy demand of the transport sector. Our previous work has shown that a widespread electrification of the personal vehicle fleet could reduce the total final energy demand of the transport sector in Croatia by roughly 53% by the year 2050 when compared with a business as usual scenario. This represents a saving of 89 PJ of energy. If a modal split from road and air to rail transport is taken into account as well, this savings could be increased to 59% or 99 PJ. A potential issue regarding a high penetration of EVs is their impact on the electricity demand, especially peak demand. In order to properly analyse this impact it is crucial to model the hourly distribution of energy demand of EVs, and with this data analyse their impact on the electricity grid. The goal of this work is to model the hourly distribution of the energy consumption of EVs and use the calculated electricity load curves to test their impact on the Croatian energy system. The hourly demand for the transport sector has been calculated using the agent-based modelling tool MATSim on a simplified geographic layout. The impact EVs have on the energy system has been modelled using the EnergyPLAN advanced energy system analyses tool.
File Format	PDF HTM / HTML
Alternate Webpage(s)	http://www.eihp.hr/wp-content/uploads/2014/11/Tomislav-Novosel.pdf
Language	English
Access Restriction	Open
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article

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